Old Dominion Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ODFL Stock | USD 171.65 1.92 1.11% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Old Dominion Freight on the next trading day is expected to be 179.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.27. Old Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Old Dominion's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Old Dominion's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Old Dominion fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Old Dominion's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0796 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.8208 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0863 | Wall Street Target Price 165.875 |
Using Old Dominion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Old Dominion Freight from the perspective of Old Dominion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Old Dominion using Old Dominion's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Old using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Old Dominion's stock price.
Old Dominion Short Interest
An investor who is long Old Dominion may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Old Dominion and may potentially protect profits, hedge Old Dominion with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 152.7056 | Short Percent 0.0824 | Short Ratio 5.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.7 M | 50 Day MA 148.702 |
Old Dominion Freight Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Old Dominion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Old. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Old can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Old Dominion Freight. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Old Dominion's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Old Dominion.
Old Dominion Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Old Dominion's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Old Dominion Freight stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Old Dominion's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Old Dominion stock will not fluctuate a lot when Old Dominion's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Old Dominion Freight on the next trading day is expected to be 179.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.27. Old Dominion after-hype prediction price | USD 171.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Old Dominion to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Old Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Old Dominion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Old Dominion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Old Dominion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Old Dominion's open interest, investors have to compare it to Old Dominion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Old Dominion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Old. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Old Dominion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Old price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Old using various technical indicators. When you analyze Old charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Old Dominion Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Old Dominion's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-12-31 | Previous Quarter 24.1 M | Current Value 46.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 127.6 M |
Old Dominion Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Old Dominion Freight on the next trading day is expected to be 179.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46, mean absolute percentage error of 16.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 214.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Old Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Old Dominion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Old Dominion Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Old Dominion | Old Dominion Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Old Dominion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Old Dominion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Old Dominion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 177.85 and 182.09, respectively. We have considered Old Dominion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Old Dominion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Old Dominion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.7452 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.456 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0239 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 214.2735 |
Predictive Modules for Old Dominion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Old Dominion Freight. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Old Dominion
For every potential investor in Old, whether a beginner or expert, Old Dominion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Old Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Old. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Old Dominion's price trends.Old Dominion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Old Dominion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Old Dominion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Old Dominion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Old Dominion Freight Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Old Dominion's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Old Dominion's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Old Dominion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Old Dominion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Old Dominion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Old Dominion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Old Dominion Freight entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22603.99 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 172.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 172.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.92) |
Old Dominion Risk Indicators
The analysis of Old Dominion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Old Dominion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting old stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Old Dominion to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 4.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.