Pegasystems Stock Performance

PEGA Stock  USD 50.75  0.37  0.73%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.48, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Pegasystems' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pegasystems is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pegasystems has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to check Pegasystems' potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Pegasystems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Pegasystems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.73
Five Day Return
4.34
Year To Date Return
(9.47)
Ten Year Return
338.26
All Time Return
1.5 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0024
Payout Ratio
0.0282
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.12
Dividend Date
2026-01-16
1
Should Pegasystems Moodys-Powered KYC Upgrade Require Action From AI-Focused Investors
12/03/2025
2
Luxor Capital Group LP Increases Stock Position in Pegasystems Inc. PEGA
12/12/2025
3
Disposition of 2053 shares by Alan Trefler of Pegasystems at 59.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
4
Disposition of 23719 shares by Alan Trefler of Pegasystems at 58.85 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
5
Care Management Solutions Market Surges to USD 14.5 Billion by 2033, Propelled by 9.8 percent CAGR - Verified Market Reports
01/06/2026
6
PTC vs. Pegasystems Financial Contrast
01/08/2026
7
Summit Creek Advisors LLC Has 17.43 Million Position in Pegasystems Inc. PEGA
01/12/2026
8
Process Mining Software Industry Research Report 2025 Market Trends, Strategies, and Opportunities, 2019-2024, 2024-2029F, 2034F
01/14/2026
 
Pegasystems dividend paid on 16th of January 2026
01/16/2026
10
Pega Launches New AI Tool to Accelerate Lotus Notes Transformation
01/20/2026
11
Evaluating Pegasystems Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
01/21/2026
12
DoubleVerify, Pegasystems, Varonis Systems, and Intuit Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
01/22/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow232.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-202.6 M

Pegasystems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,334  in Pegasystems on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,259) from holding Pegasystems or give up 19.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Pegasystems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.4609% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Pegasystems, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pegasystems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.29 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Pegasystems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Pegasystems Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 50.75 90 days 50.75 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pegasystems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Pegasystems probability density function shows the probability of Pegasystems Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pegasystems has a beta of 0.48 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pegasystems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pegasystems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pegasystems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pegasystems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pegasystems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pegasystems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.5350.9953.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.6862.0864.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.6850.1452.60
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
67.2673.9182.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pegasystems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pegasystems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pegasystems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pegasystems.

Pegasystems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pegasystems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pegasystems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pegasystems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pegasystems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Pegasystems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pegasystems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pegasystems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pegasystems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pegasystems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Pegasystems paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DoubleVerify, Pegasystems, Varonis Systems, and Intuit Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know

Pegasystems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pegasystems Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pegasystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pegasystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding179.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments740 M

Pegasystems Fundamentals Growth

Pegasystems Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Pegasystems, and Pegasystems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Pegasystems Stock performance.

About Pegasystems Performance

By analyzing Pegasystems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Pegasystems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Pegasystems has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Pegasystems has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.16  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Things to note about Pegasystems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pegasystems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Pegasystems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pegasystems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pegasystems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Pegasystems paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DoubleVerify, Pegasystems, Varonis Systems, and Intuit Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
Evaluating Pegasystems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Pegasystems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Pegasystems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Pegasystems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Pegasystems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Pegasystems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Pegasystems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Pegasystems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Pegasystems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Pegasystems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Pegasystems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Pegasystems Stock analysis

When running Pegasystems' price analysis, check to measure Pegasystems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pegasystems is operating at the current time. Most of Pegasystems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pegasystems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pegasystems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pegasystems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges