Pegasystems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PEGA Stock | USD 91.52 2.02 2.26% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Pegasystems is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pegasystems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PEGA positions.
Check out Pegasystems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Pegasystems Stock refer to our How to Trade Pegasystems Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pegasystems and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pegasystems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Pegasystems |
Execute Pegasystems Buy or Sell Advice
The Pegasystems recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pegasystems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pegasystems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pegasystems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Pegasystems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Pegasystems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pegasystems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Pegasystems paid $ 0.03 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ravesh Lala Joins Pega to Drive Clients Modernization of Legacy Applications |
Pegasystems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Pegasystems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pegasystems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pegasystems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pegasystems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pegasystems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pegasystems.
| Mean Return | 0.50 | Value At Risk | -2.87 | Potential Upside | 3.07 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pegasystems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Pegasystems Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Shannon River Fund Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 788.4 K | Ranger Investment Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 765.9 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 695.4 K | Luxor Capital Group, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 683.9 K | Woodline Partners Lp | 2024-06-30 | 622.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 567 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 554.8 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 548.1 K | Cadian Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 546.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6 M | Bares Capital Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 5.4 M |
Pegasystems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (46.1M) | 103.5M | (11.9M) | (14.9M) | 87.8M | 92.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (52.8M) | (25.9M) | 28.7M | (13.0M) | 201.0M | 211.1M | |
| Depreciation | 21.4M | 21.3M | 28.6M | 18.8M | 18.7M | 14.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 46.3M | 29.2M | 92.5M | 122.4M | 65.5M | 68.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 10.6M | 25.4M | 10.5M | 35.4M | 16.8M | 9.6M | |
| Net Income | (90.4M) | (61.4M) | (63.0M) | (345.6M) | 67.8M | 71.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 68.4M | 171.9M | 160.0M | 145.1M | 232.8M | 244.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 9.5M | 9.6M | 9.8M | 9.8M | 10.0M | 7.7M | |
| Investments | 91.6M | (296.3M) | 88.0M | 49.4M | (21.2M) | (22.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | 1.1M | (32.3M) | (12.0M) | (51.2M) | (58.8M) | (55.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 33.4M | 7.0M | 71.7M | 344.1M | 395.7M | 415.5M |
Pegasystems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pegasystems or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pegasystems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pegasystems stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Pegasystems Volatility Alert
Pegasystems has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.58 and kurtosis of 14.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pegasystems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pegasystems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Pegasystems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Pegasystems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pegasystems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pegasystems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pegasystems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pegasystems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pegasystems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Pegasystems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Pegasystems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0768 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.73 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 85.75 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 47.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 48.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.32 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 573.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 16.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.43 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 949.21 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 121.45 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 67.81 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 275.71 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.36 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 581.27 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.60 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.51 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 217.78 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.32 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.40 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.87 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 91.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.41 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.06 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.85 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.51 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (8.71 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 451.97 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 458.87 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 932 shares by Efstathios Kouninis of Pegasystems at 71.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Pegasystems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pegasystems . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Pegasystems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Pegasystems? Buying financial instruments such as Pegasystems Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Pegasystems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Pegasystems Stock refer to our How to Trade Pegasystems Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pegasystems. If investors know Pegasystems will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pegasystems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.849 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 1.4 | Revenue Per Share 17.485 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Pegasystems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pegasystems that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pegasystems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pegasystems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pegasystems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pegasystems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pegasystems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pegasystems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pegasystems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.