Therealreal Stock Technical Analysis
| REAL Stock | USD 11.45 0.70 6.51% |
As of the 14th of February 2026, TheRealReal has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0331, semi deviation of 3.43, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3288.88. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of TheRealReal, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate TheRealReal variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if TheRealReal is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 11.45 per share. Given that TheRealReal has jensen alpha of 0.0017, we advise you to double-check TheRealReal's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
TheRealReal Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as TheRealReal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TheRealRealTheRealReal | Build AI portfolio with TheRealReal Stock |
TheRealReal Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 18.0 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most TheRealReal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand TheRealReal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of TheRealReal, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to TheRealReal conference calls.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. Anticipated expansion of TheRealReal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TheRealReal assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between TheRealReal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding TheRealReal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, TheRealReal's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
TheRealReal 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TheRealReal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TheRealReal.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in TheRealReal on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TheRealReal or generate 0.0% return on investment in TheRealReal over 90 days. TheRealReal is related to or competes with Capri Holdings, Signet Jewelers, Brightstar Lottery, Patrick Industries, Abercrombie Fitch, MI Homes, and CarGurus. The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for consigned luxury goods in the United State More
TheRealReal Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TheRealReal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TheRealReal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 47.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.51 |
TheRealReal Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TheRealReal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TheRealReal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TheRealReal historical prices to predict the future TheRealReal's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0294 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0606 |
TheRealReal February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0331 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0706 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3288.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.79 | |||
| Variance | 33.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0294 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0606 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 47.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.48) | |||
| Skewness | 4.36 | |||
| Kurtosis | 28.32 |
TheRealReal Backtested Returns
TheRealReal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0875, which indicates the firm had a -0.0875 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. TheRealReal exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TheRealReal's Coefficient Of Variation of 3288.88, semi deviation of 3.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0331 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 2.74, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, TheRealReal will likely underperform. At this point, TheRealReal has a negative expected return of -0.29%. Please make sure to validate TheRealReal's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if TheRealReal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.86 |
Excellent reverse predictability
TheRealReal has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TheRealReal time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TheRealReal price movement. The serial correlation of -0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current TheRealReal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.02 |
TheRealReal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
TheRealReal Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for TheRealReal across different markets.
About TheRealReal Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of TheRealReal on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of TheRealReal based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on TheRealReal price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding TheRealReal. By analyzing TheRealReal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of TheRealReal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to TheRealReal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 19.31 | 13.9 | 12.51 | 13.62 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 46.93 | 56.27 | 64.71 | 83.51 |
TheRealReal February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of TheRealReal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TheRealReal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze TheRealReal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0331 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0706 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3288.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.79 | |||
| Variance | 33.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0017 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0294 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0606 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 47.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.48) | |||
| Skewness | 4.36 | |||
| Kurtosis | 28.32 |
TheRealReal February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TheRealReal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 279,165 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.79 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.07 | ||
| Day Median Price | 11.17 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 11.26 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.63 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TheRealReal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. For more information on how to buy TheRealReal Stock please use our How to buy in TheRealReal Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TheRealReal. Anticipated expansion of TheRealReal directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TheRealReal assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.01) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of TheRealReal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TheRealReal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TheRealReal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TheRealReal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TheRealReal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TheRealReal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between TheRealReal's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding TheRealReal should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, TheRealReal's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.