Red 5 Limited Stock Performance

REDLF Stock  USD 4.36  0.26  6.34%   
Red 5 holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 4.3, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Red 5 will likely underperform. Use Red 5 value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to analyze future returns on Red 5.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Red 5 Limited are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile essential indicators, Red 5 reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow17.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-160.1 M
  

Red 5 Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  328.00  in Red 5 Limited on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  108.00  from holding Red 5 Limited or generate 32.93% return on investment over 90 days. Red 5 Limited is currently producing 2.3319% returns and takes up 20.0869% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Red, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Red 5 is expected to generate 26.61 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 26.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Red 5 Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Red Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.36 90 days 4.36 
roughly 2.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Red 5 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.86 (This Red 5 Limited probability density function shows the probability of Red Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 4.3 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Red 5 will likely underperform. Moreover Red 5 Limited has an alpha of 1.8024, implying that it can generate a 1.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Red 5 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Red 5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red 5 Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.1024.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.3223.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.4724.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.433.824.21
Details

Red 5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Red 5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Red 5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Red 5 Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Red 5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Red 5 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Red 5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Red 5 Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red 5 Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Red 5 Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Red 5 Limited has accumulated 152.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Red 5 Limited has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Red 5 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Red 5's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Red 5 Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Red to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Red 5's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 162.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.53 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (31.09 M).
Red 5 Limited has accumulated about 32.53 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Red 5 Fundamentals Growth

Red Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Red 5, and Red 5 fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Red Pink Sheet performance.

About Red 5 Performance

By analyzing Red 5's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Red 5's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Red 5 has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Red 5 has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Red 5 Limited engages in the exploration, production, and mining of gold deposits and mineral properties in the Philippines and Australia. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in West Perth, Australia. Red 5 operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Red 5 Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Red 5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Red 5 Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red 5 Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Red 5 Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Red 5 Limited has accumulated 152.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Red 5 Limited has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Red 5 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Red 5's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Red 5 Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Red to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Red 5's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 162.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.53 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (31.09 M).
Red 5 Limited has accumulated about 32.53 M in cash with (2.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Evaluating Red 5's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Red 5's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Red 5's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Red 5's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Red 5's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Red 5's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Red 5's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Red 5's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Red 5's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Red 5's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Red 5's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Red Pink Sheet analysis

When running Red 5's price analysis, check to measure Red 5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red 5 is operating at the current time. Most of Red 5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red 5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red 5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red 5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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