Selective Insurance Group Stock Performance
| SIGI Stock | USD 86.42 0.91 1.04% |
Selective Insurance has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.44, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Selective Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Selective Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. Selective Insurance right now has a risk of 1.32%. Please validate Selective Insurance downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Selective Insurance will be following its existing price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Good
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Selective Insurance Group are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Selective Insurance may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.04) | Five Day Return (3.98) | Year To Date Return 3.47 | Ten Year Return 155.23 | All Time Return 19.6 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0185 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.62 | Dividend Date 2026-03-02 |
1 | Disposition of 15089 shares by Marchioni John J. of Selective Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/25/2025 |
| Selective Insurance dividend paid on 1st of December 2025 | 12/01/2025 |
2 | Selective Insurance Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call to Announce Fourth Quarter 2025 Results | 01/12/2026 |
3 | Selective Insurance Group Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect | 01/28/2026 |
4 | Selective Insurance Beats Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates | 01/29/2026 |
5 | Selective Insurance Group Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strong ROE and EPS ... | 01/30/2026 |
6 | Selective to Speak at the Bank of America Securities 2026 Financial Services Conference | 02/02/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Bacus Lisa R of 600 shares of Selective Insurance at 84.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
8 | Is It Time To Reassess Selective Insurance Group After Recent Sector Risk Focus | 02/04/2026 |
9 | Disposition of 1595 shares by Michael Lanza of Selective Insurance at 90.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/06/2026 |
10 | Will Stronger Q4 Results and Governance Changes Reshape Selective Insurance Groups Narrative | 02/10/2026 |
11 | Selective Insurance Group Flags 9-10 percent Casualty Severity, Targets 2026 Margin Gains at BofA Conference | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 63 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.5 B |
Selective | Build AI portfolio with Selective Stock |
Selective Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 7,776 in Selective Insurance Group on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 842.00 from holding Selective Insurance Group or generate 10.83% return on investment over 90 days. Selective Insurance Group is currently generating 0.1773% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.3236% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Selective, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Selective Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Selective Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 86.42 | 90 days | 86.42 | about 10.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Selective Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.79 (This Selective Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of Selective Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Selective Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Selective Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Selective Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Selective Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Selective Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Selective Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Selective Insurance Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Selective Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Selective Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Selective Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Selective Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selective Insurance Group currently holds 898.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.19, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Selective Insurance Group Flags 9-10 percent Casualty Severity, Targets 2026 Margin Gains at BofA Conference |
Selective Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Selective Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Selective Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Selective Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 B |
Selective Insurance Fundamentals Growth
Selective Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Selective Insurance, and Selective Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Selective Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0279 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.37 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 60.08 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 17.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.55 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.98 X | ||||
| Revenue | 5.34 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.18 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 671.59 M | ||||
| Net Income | 466.4 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 289.62 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.80 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 898.3 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 56.74 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.27 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.49 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 5.22 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 15.16 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.5 B | ||||
About Selective Insurance Performance
By evaluating Selective Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Selective Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Selective Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Selective Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (17.95) | (18.85) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.11 |
Things to note about Selective Insurance performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Selective Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Selective Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Selective Insurance Group currently holds 898.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.19, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Selective Insurance Group Flags 9-10 percent Casualty Severity, Targets 2026 Margin Gains at BofA Conference |
- Analyzing Selective Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Selective Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Selective Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Selective Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Selective Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Selective Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Selective Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Selective Stock analysis
When running Selective Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Selective Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Selective Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Selective Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Selective Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Selective Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Selective Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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