Selective Insurance Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SIGI Stock | USD 96.38 0.40 0.42% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Selective Insurance Group is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Selective Insurance's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Selective Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Selective and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Selective Insurance Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Selective |
Execute Selective Insurance Buy or Sell Advice
The Selective recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Selective Insurance Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Selective Insurance Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Selective Insurance's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Selective Insurance Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Selective Insurance Group currently holds 501.31 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.19, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Selective Insurance has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Selective Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 86.0% of Selective Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Selective Insurance Up 4 percent Since Last Earnings Report |
Selective Insurance Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Selective Insurance's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Selective Insurance's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Selective Insurance daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Selective Insurance Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Selective Insurance returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Selective Insurance.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -1.82 | Potential Upside | 2.13 | Standard Deviation | 1.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Selective Insurance historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Selective Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 962.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 867.7 K | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 741.7 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 729.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 701.1 K | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-06-30 | 616.9 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 554.1 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 471 K | Champlain Investment Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 445.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 7.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.6 M |
Selective Insurance Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (8.9M) | 7.3M | 29.8M | (19.9M) | (11.9M) | (11.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 446.5M | 532.0M | 749.3M | 776.4M | 736.3M | 773.1M | |
| Depreciation | 55.2M | 59.4M | 55.1M | 42.3M | 30.0M | 29.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (24.3M) | (4.7M) | (84.5M) | 145.2M | 2.5M | 2.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 47.7M | 54.5M | 69.5M | 76.1M | 83.0M | 87.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 31.0M | 22.1M | 22.2M | 26.0M | 22.6M | 13.1M | |
| Net Income | 271.6M | 246.4M | 403.8M | 224.9M | 365.2M | 383.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 8.0M | 15.2M | 45.1M | 25.2M | 13.3M | 26.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | (5.3M) | 8.1M | (71.5M) | 120.5M | 108.4M | 55.9M | |
| Investments | (603.5M) | (390.1M) | (557.0M) | (803.9M) | (753.6M) | (715.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 250M | (587M) | (50M) | (60M) | (54M) | (51.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (56.6M) | (13.3M) | (112.4M) | (151.4M) | (136.3M) | (129.5M) |
Selective Insurance Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Selective Insurance or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Selective Insurance's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Selective stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0003 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Selective Insurance Volatility Alert
Selective Insurance Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.08 and kurtosis of 5.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Selective Insurance's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Selective Insurance's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Selective Insurance Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Selective Insurance's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Selective Insurance's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Selective Insurance and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Selective Insurance or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Selective Insurance's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Selective Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Selective Insurance to competition |
| Fundamentals | Selective Insurance | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0813 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0163 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 60.79 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.22 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 85.52 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.00 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 101.17 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 740.47 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 517.25 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 365.24 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 289.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.80 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 501.31 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.82 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 758.91 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.72 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.86 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 102.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.65 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.86 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.8 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.03 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
Note: Acquisition by Patrick Brennan of 12036 shares of Selective Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Selective Insurance Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Selective . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Selective Insurance Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Selective Insurance Group? Buying financial instruments such as Selective Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Selective Insurance in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Selective Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Selective Insurance. If investors know Selective will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Selective Insurance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 3.72 | Revenue Per Share 77.534 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
The market value of Selective Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Selective that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Selective Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Selective Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Selective Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Selective Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Selective Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Selective Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Selective Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.