Stanley Black Decker Stock Performance

SWK Stock  USD 81.07  0.87  1.08%   
Stanley Black's return record is summarized here, from recent weeks to multi-year horizons. The stock's expected return over 3 months is -0.11%, complemented by a 4.1% dividend yield.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
Stanley Black Decker posted below-breakeven returns over the last 90 days, with return quality lagging for investors with long positions. Weak return efficiency can persist even when isolated price moves briefly appear constructive. Return efficiency for Stanley Black remains negative, with shareholder returns under moderate pressure. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
1.08
 Five Day Return
4.2
 Year To Date Return
9.14
 Ten Year Return
-28.25
 All Time Return
3,602
 Forward Dividend Yield
4.1%
 Payout Ratio
70.3%
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
3.32
 Dividend Date
2026-06-23

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 8,886 in Stanley Black Decker on February 9, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 779.00 , a decline of 8.77% over 90 days. Stanley Black Decker is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.7% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Stanley Black exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 76% of comparable stocks, and SWK delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary evaluates how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Over a 90-day investment horizon, SWK has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, SWK is 2.94 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.04%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price behavior in Stanley Black Stock may occasionally drift away from historical averages, particularly during periods of elevated market sentiment or uncertainty. However, deviations from historical norms do not necessarily imply that prices will quickly reverse. Structural shifts in market conditions can alter how investors interpret historical valuation ranges.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
81.07 90 days 81.07
about 30.45 %
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of Stanley Black moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 30.45 %. Recent return data has shown a distribution that skews above the current level over this window. (The chart shows where the base-case price path for Stanley Black Stock has been concentrating over 90 days). Wider tails indicate a broader spread of plausible outcomes for Stanley Black Stock.
Over a 90-day investment horizon, Stanley Black Decker has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on Stanley Black tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Stanley Black Decker tends to outperform the market. Additionally, Stanley Black Decker has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. SWK is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stanley Black Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stanley Black

The stock market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques applicable to instruments like Stanley Black Decker. While no single technique guarantees accuracy, combining multiple methods often improves prediction reliability. Disciplined forecasting strengthens stock analysis even when individual model accuracy is limited.
Mean reversion in Stanley Black's price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Stanley Black's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. Whether book value, historical earnings multiple, or sector median, the reference point matters for Stanley Black's analysis.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
78.5781.2783.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
72.96125.73128.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.9682.6585.35
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
82.3690.51100.47
Details
Peer benchmarking frames Stanley Black's operating metrics and market pricing against comparable companies. Placing Stanley Black's results in peer context distinguishes company-specific performance from industry-wide trends. Standalone financial analysis captures Stanley Black's individual trajectory; peer comparison reveals relative standing.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market has gone through extended turbulence over the past two decades, and Stanley Black has not been immune. Sharp price drops and substantial rallies have shaped Stanley Black's value during this period. Hedging strategies informed by Stanley Black's risk indicators offer a structured way to manage portfolio volatility.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.027
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
7.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.0002

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on Stanley Black ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. Notifications for Stanley Black Decker surface changes in technical patterns and fundamental metrics that could influence decisions. Targeted alerts for Stanley Black give investors a structured approach to monitoring stock conditions.
Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 24th of March 2026 Stanley Black paid $ 0.83 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MIDD Q 1 Earnings Beat Estimates on Food Processing Strength

Price Density Drivers

The price behavior of Stanley Black is influenced by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. The future price of Stanley Black Stock depends on both market expectations and ongoing dynamics among participants. The market indicators below provide context for understanding Stanley Black's recent and expected price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152.14 million
Cash And Short Term Investments280.1 million

Stanley Black Fundamentals Growth

Stanley Black's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate Stanley Black Stock. Key drivers such as revenue growth, earnings trends, and margin expansion directly influence Stanley Black Stock valuation. Stanley Black Stock valuation hinges on Stanley Black's fundamental financial indicators and profitability trends.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Stanley Black measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Comparing drawdown severity across periods reveals whether risk characteristics are stable or shifting. Stanley Black shows ROE of 4.17%, ROA of 3.33% (TTM) vs -1.19% (last reported).

Stanley Black Decker inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board