Stanley Black Decker Stock Performance
| SWK Stock | USD 81.07 0.87 1.08% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
Stanley Black Decker posted below-breakeven returns over the last 90 days, with return quality lagging for investors with long positions. Weak return efficiency can persist even when isolated price moves briefly appear constructive. Return efficiency for Stanley Black remains negative, with shareholder returns under moderate pressure. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.08 | Five Day Return 4.2 | Year To Date Return 9.14 | Ten Year Return -28.25 | All Time Return 3,602 |
Forward Dividend Yield 4.1% | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 3.32 | Dividend Date 2026-06-23 |
1 | Insider Trading | 03/23/2026 |
| Stanley Black dividend paid on 24th of March 2026 | 03/24/2026 |
2 | Acquisition by Deborah Wintner of 348 shares of Stanley Black subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/25/2026 |
3 | Acquisition by William Beck of 9514 shares of Stanley Black subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/27/2026 |
4 | Stanley Black Decker Recognized as one of Americas Most Innovative Companies | 04/07/2026 |
5 | Disposition of 11186 shares by Patrick Hallinan of Stanley Black subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/10/2026 |
6 | Stanley Black Decker Does Not Expect Recent Section 232 Tariff Changes To Impact 2026 Guidance Materially | 04/20/2026 |
7 | Assessing Stanley Black Deckers Valuation After New Buyback Plan And Dividend Affirmation | 04/27/2026 |
8 | Stanley Black Decker Buyback Highlights Capital Allocation And Valuation Tension | 04/29/2026 |
9 | SWK Q 1 Deep Dive Margin Pressures and Brand Investments Shape Outlook | 04/30/2026 |
10 | Acquisition by Scot Greulach of 1952 shares of Stanley Black subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 05/04/2026 |
11 | I Just Opened a Position in Wall Streets Greatest Dividend Stock -- a Company Thats Been Paying Dividends Since the Early 1800 s | 05/05/2026 |
12 | Stanley Black Decker Just Reclaimed the 200-Day Moving Average | 05/06/2026 |
13 | MIDD Q 1 Earnings Beat Estimates on Food Processing Strength | 05/08/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 8,886 in Stanley Black Decker on February 9, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 779.00 , a decline of 8.77% over 90 days. Stanley Black Decker is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.7% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Stanley Black exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 76% of comparable stocks, and SWK delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Price behavior in Stanley Black Stock may occasionally drift away from historical averages, particularly during periods of elevated market sentiment or uncertainty. However, deviations from historical norms do not necessarily imply that prices will quickly reverse. Structural shifts in market conditions can alter how investors interpret historical valuation ranges.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 81.07 | 90 days | 81.07 | about 30.45 % |
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of Stanley Black moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 30.45 %. Recent return data has shown a distribution that skews above the current level over this window. (The chart shows where the base-case price path for Stanley Black Stock has been concentrating over 90 days). Wider tails indicate a broader spread of plausible outcomes for Stanley Black Stock.
Stanley Black Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stanley Black
The stock market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques applicable to instruments like Stanley Black Decker. While no single technique guarantees accuracy, combining multiple methods often improves prediction reliability. Disciplined forecasting strengthens stock analysis even when individual model accuracy is limited.Mean reversion in Stanley Black's price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Stanley Black's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. Whether book value, historical earnings multiple, or sector median, the reference point matters for Stanley Black's analysis.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market has gone through extended turbulence over the past two decades, and Stanley Black has not been immune. Sharp price drops and substantial rallies have shaped Stanley Black's value during this period. Hedging strategies informed by Stanley Black's risk indicators offer a structured way to manage portfolio volatility.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.027 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0002 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Setting up alerts on Stanley Black ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. Notifications for Stanley Black Decker surface changes in technical patterns and fundamental metrics that could influence decisions. Targeted alerts for Stanley Black give investors a structured approach to monitoring stock conditions.| Stanley Black Decker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 24th of March 2026 Stanley Black paid $ 0.83 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MIDD Q 1 Earnings Beat Estimates on Food Processing Strength |
Price Density Drivers
The price behavior of Stanley Black is influenced by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. The future price of Stanley Black Stock depends on both market expectations and ongoing dynamics among participants. The market indicators below provide context for understanding Stanley Black's recent and expected price behavior.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.14 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 280.1 million |
Stanley Black Fundamentals Growth
Stanley Black's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate Stanley Black Stock. Key drivers such as revenue growth, earnings trends, and margin expansion directly influence Stanley Black Stock valuation. Stanley Black Stock valuation hinges on Stanley Black's fundamental financial indicators and profitability trends.
| Current Valuation | 18.77 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 155.46 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.44 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Drawdown analysis for Stanley Black measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Comparing drawdown severity across periods reveals whether risk characteristics are stable or shifting. Stanley Black shows ROE of 4.17%, ROA of 3.33% (TTM) vs -1.19% (last reported).
Stanley Black Decker inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board