Stanley Black Decker Stock Market Outlook

SWK Stock  USD 80.96  1.81  2.29%   
About 50% of Stanley Black's institutional investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Stanley Black Decker stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Stanley Black's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Stanley Black Decker.

Comfort Level 50

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Stanley Black's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Stanley Black Decker.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Stanley Black Decker is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Stanley Black's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Execute Stanley Black Advice

The Stanley recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Stanley Black Decker. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Stanley Black Decker or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Stanley Black's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Stanley BlackBuy Stanley Black
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Stanley Black Decker has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0972, Jensen Alpha of 0.1663, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1272, Sortino Ratio of 0.1225 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1276
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Stanley Black Decker to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Stanley Black Decker. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Stanley Black Decker is not overpriced, please validate all Stanley Black fundamentals, including its current ratio, working capital, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Stanley Black Decker has a price to earning of 8.44 X, we advise you to double-check Stanley Black Decker market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Stanley Black Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Stanley Black Decker has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of December 2025 Stanley Black paid $ 0.83 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Stanley Black Decker Q4 2025 Earnings Preview

Stanley Black Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Stanley Black's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Stanley Black's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Stanley Black daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Stanley Black Decker price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Stanley Black returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Stanley Black.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-2.6
Potential Upside
4.60
Standard Deviation
2.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Stanley Black historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Stanley Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
2.8 M
Proshare Advisors Llc2025-06-30
2.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
2.2 M
Clean Energy Transition Llp2025-06-30
1.8 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2025-06-30
1.8 M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
1.6 M
Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
1.4 M
Cooke & Bieler Lp2025-06-30
1.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
18.7 M
Capital Research Global Investors2025-06-30
12.7 M
Note, although Stanley Black's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Stanley Black Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.0B)(792.4M)906.6M93M83.7M87.9M
Change In Cash(1.1B)110.1M49.7M(161.8M)(145.6M)(138.3M)
Free Cash Flow144M(2.0B)852.6M753M866.0M437.5M
Depreciation577.1M572.2M625.1M589.5M677.9M711.8M
Other Non Cash Items157.9M(1.2B)463.1M270.5M243.5M255.6M
Dividends Paid493.7M471.6M482.6M491.2M564.9M593.1M
Capital Expenditures519.1M530.4M338.7M353.9M407.0M229.3M
Net Income1.7B1.1B(310.5M)294.3M338.4M475.0M
End Period Cash Flow294.8M404.9M454.6M292.8M336.7M460.8M
Change To Netincome17M(36.6M)(112.4M)(237.1M)(213.4M)(202.7M)
Change Receivables(137.8M)(39.6M)(280.6M)109M98.1M103.0M
Net Borrowings2.2B854.5M(299.4M)(1.1B)(951.2M)(903.6M)
Investments(15.4M)3.6B(331.4M)394.2M453.3M369.2M

Stanley Black Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Stanley Black or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Stanley Black's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Stanley stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Stanley Black Volatility Alert

Stanley Black Decker has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.72 and kurtosis of 0.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Stanley Black's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Stanley Black's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Stanley Black Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Stanley Black's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Stanley Black's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Stanley Black and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Stanley Black or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Stanley Black's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stanley Black by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Stanley Black to competition
FundamentalsStanley BlackPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0492-0.31
Return On Asset0.0286-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding154.88 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.47 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.96 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.44 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.81 X11.42 X
Revenue15.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.32 B3.9 B
Net Income294.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents290.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.76 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.59 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.87 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share57.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.11 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.90 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.37 X4.89 X
Target Price87.51
Number Of Employees48 K18.84 K
Beta1.2-0.15
Market Capitalization12.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.85 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.34 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.46 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1302 shares by Deborah Wintner of Stanley Black subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Stanley Black Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Stanley . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Stanley Black Target Price Consensus

Stanley target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Stanley Black's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   20  Buy
Most Stanley analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Stanley stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Stanley Black Decker, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Stanley Black Target Price Projection

Stanley Black's current and average target prices are 80.96 and 87.51, respectively. The current price of Stanley Black is the price at which Stanley Black Decker is currently trading. On the other hand, Stanley Black's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Stanley Black Market Quote on 4th of February 2026

Low Price79.15Odds
High Price80.96Odds

80.96

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Stanley Black Target Price

Low Estimate79.63Odds
High Estimate97.14Odds

87.5107

Historical Lowest Forecast  79.63 Target Price  87.51 Highest Forecast  97.14
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Stanley Black Decker and the information provided on this page.

Stanley Black Analyst Ratings

Stanley Black's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Stanley Black stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Stanley Black's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Stanley Black's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Stanley Black Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Stanley Black Decker? Buying financial instruments such as Stanley Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Stanley Black in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Electronics Thematic Idea Now

Electronics
Electronics Theme
Companies manufacturing electronic appliances and goods. The Electronics theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electronics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Stanley Black Decker is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Stanley Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Stanley Black Decker Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Stanley Black Decker Stock:
Check out Stanley Black Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stanley Black. If investors know Stanley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Stanley Black assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Dividend Share
3.29
Earnings Share
2.9
Revenue Per Share
100.388
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
Investors evaluate Stanley Black Decker using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Stanley Black's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Stanley Black's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stanley Black's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stanley Black is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Stanley Black's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.