Tecogen Stock Performance

TGEN Stock  USD 3.77  0.03  0.80%   
The entity has a beta of 2.08, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tecogen will likely underperform. At this point, Tecogen has a negative expected return of -1.25%. Please make sure to validate Tecogen's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Tecogen performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tecogen has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.8
Five Day Return
(11.50)
Year To Date Return
(29.40)
Ten Year Return
10.56
All Time Return
(40.82)
1
Tecogen GAAP EPS of -0.07 misses by 0.02, revenue of 7.18M beats by 0.5M
11/12/2025
2
Tecogen Inc Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Advances Amid Financial Challenges
11/13/2025
3
Will Tecogen Inc. stock attract long term capital inflows - newser.com
11/18/2025
4
How Tecogen Inc. stock performs in volatility spikes - July 2025 PreEarnings Scalable Portfolio Growth Ideas - newser.com
11/21/2025
5
Tecogen Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go - Trefis
12/08/2025
6
How Tecogen Inc. stock compares to industry benchmarks - CPI Data Technical Entry and Exit Alerts - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
7
Top 3 Industrial Stocks That May Soar This Quarter - Bitget
01/06/2026
8
Earnings Miss Is Tecogen Inc attractive at current valuation - Insider Buying Consistent Income Trade Ideas - baoquankhu1.vn
01/13/2026
9
Chillers Market to Grow by 2 Billion During 2026-2030 Reaching 13.3 Billion Carrier, Daikin Industries, Trane Technologies, Hitachi Air Conditioning Co., and Jo...
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1 M

Tecogen Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  882.00  in Tecogen on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (505.00) from holding Tecogen or give up 57.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tecogen is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.5495% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 49% of stocks are less volatile than Tecogen, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tecogen is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.31 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.23 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Tecogen Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tecogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.77 90 days 3.77 
about 92.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tecogen to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.94 (This Tecogen probability density function shows the probability of Tecogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.08 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tecogen will likely underperform. Additionally Tecogen has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tecogen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tecogen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tecogen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tecogen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.779.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.629.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.808.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details

Tecogen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tecogen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tecogen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tecogen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tecogen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Tecogen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tecogen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tecogen can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tecogen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tecogen has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.9 M.
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Chillers Market to Grow by 2 Billion During 2026-2030 Reaching 13.3 Billion Carrier, Daikin Industries, Trane Technologies, Hitachi Air Conditioning Co., and Johnson Controls Lead the Industry

Tecogen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tecogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tecogen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tecogen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 M

Tecogen Fundamentals Growth

Tecogen Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tecogen, and Tecogen fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tecogen Stock performance.

About Tecogen Performance

By examining Tecogen's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Tecogen's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Tecogen is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 248.23  129.26 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.16)(0.17)
Return On Capital Employed(0.29)(0.30)
Return On Assets(0.15)(0.14)
Return On Equity(0.42)(0.40)

Things to note about Tecogen performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tecogen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Tecogen help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tecogen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tecogen has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.9 M.
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Chillers Market to Grow by 2 Billion During 2026-2030 Reaching 13.3 Billion Carrier, Daikin Industries, Trane Technologies, Hitachi Air Conditioning Co., and Johnson Controls Lead the Industry
Evaluating Tecogen's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tecogen's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Tecogen's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tecogen's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tecogen's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tecogen's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tecogen's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tecogen's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Tecogen's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tecogen's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tecogen's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Tecogen offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tecogen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tecogen Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tecogen Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tecogen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
To learn how to invest in Tecogen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tecogen guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could Tecogen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tecogen. If investors know Tecogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Tecogen data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.95)
Earnings Share
(0.16)
Revenue Per Share
1.052
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.543
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Investors evaluate Tecogen using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Tecogen's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Tecogen's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tecogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tecogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Tecogen's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.