Tecogen Valuation
| TGEN Stock | USD 4.25 0.05 1.16% |
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Tecogen has a current Real Value of $4.06 per share. The regular price of the company is $4.25. Our model measures the value of Tecogen from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.4, operating margin of (0.19) %, and Shares Outstanding of 29.69 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Tecogen's valuation include:
Price Book 5.0872 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda (64.15) | Price Sales 4.6543 | Forward PE 101.0101 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Tecogen's price fluctuation is risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Tecogen is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Tecogen's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Tecogen is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Tecogen Stock. However, Tecogen's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 4.25 | Real 4.06 | Hype 4.2 | Naive 4.12 |
The intrinsic value of Tecogen's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Tecogen's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Tecogen helps investors to forecast how Tecogen stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Tecogen more accurately as focusing exclusively on Tecogen's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Tecogen's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Tecogen's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Tecogen's closest peers.
Tecogen Cash |
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Tecogen Revenue by Product
Tecogen Total Value Analysis
Tecogen is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 117.13 M with market capitalization of 206.05 M, debt of 3.73 M, and cash on hands of 2.83 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Tecogen fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
117.13 M | 206.05 M | 3.73 M | 2.83 M |
Tecogen Investor Information
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.16. Tecogen had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Tecogen's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Tecogen may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.Tecogen Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Tecogen has an asset utilization ratio of 72.75 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.73 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Tecogen is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Tecogen Profitability Analysis
Considering Tecogen's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Tecogen may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess Tecogen's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Loss | First Reported 2011-12-31 | Previous Quarter -1.5 M | Current Value -2.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 1 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.31 | 0.39 |
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For Tecogen profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Tecogen to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Tecogen utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Tecogen's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Tecogen over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Tecogen Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Tecogen is estimated to be -0.0425 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.0425 to a high of -0.0425. Tecogen's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.16. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Tecogen is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Tecogen Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Tecogen's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Tecogen is estimated to be -0.0425 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.0425 to a high of -0.0425. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Tecogen is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
-0.04 Lowest | Expected EPS | -0.04 Highest |
Tecogen Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Tecogen's value are higher than the current market price of the Tecogen stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Tecogen is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Tecogen's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of December 2025 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 1 | 71.11% | -0.05 | -0.0425 | -0.16 |
Tecogen Ownership Allocation
Tecogen shows a total of 29.69 Million outstanding shares. Tecogen maintains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Tecogen Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 22.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.9 M.About Tecogen Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tecogen. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Tecogen based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Tecogen's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Tecogen's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Tecogen. We calculate exposure to Tecogen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Tecogen's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 11.4 M | 10 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.21) | (0.19) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.23) | (0.24) | |
| Net Loss | (0.24) | (0.23) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.39 | 0.31 |
Tecogen Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.9 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.949 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 101.0101 |
Tecogen Current Valuation Indicators
Tecogen's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Tecogen's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Tecogen, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Tecogen's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Tecogen's worth.When determining whether Tecogen offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tecogen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tecogen Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tecogen Stock: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Tecogen. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. To learn how to invest in Tecogen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tecogen guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tecogen. If investors know Tecogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tecogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (0.16) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.543 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tecogen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tecogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tecogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tecogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tecogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tecogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tecogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tecogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tecogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.