Universal Stock Performance

UVV Stock  USD 51.87  0.25  0.48%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0423, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Universal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Universal is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Universal has a negative expected return of -0.0112%. Please make sure to validate Universal's total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Universal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Universal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Universal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(10.72)
Five Day Return
(11.99)
Year To Date Return
(1.83)
Ten Year Return
(2.62)
All Time Return
K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.062
Payout Ratio
0.5062
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.28
Dividend Date
2026-02-02
1
Limbach, Universal Logistics, Enphase, Trimble, and Itron Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know - Yahoo Finance
11/13/2025
2
State of Wyoming Lowers Stock Holdings in Universal Technical Institute Inc UTI - MarketBeat
12/15/2025
3
Acquisition by Johan Kroner of 8437 shares of Universal subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
4
Is Universal Technical Institute Stock a Buy After Needham Raised Its Stake Over 7 Million - The Motley Fool
12/30/2025
5
Universal Health Services Stock Trades Down, Here Is Why - FinancialContent
01/07/2026
6
Universal Corporation Releases FY2025 Sustainability Report
01/12/2026
7
Disposition of 1108 shares by Catherine Claiborne of Universal at 65.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
8
Universal Valuation Check After 2025 Sustainability Report And ESG Progress
01/16/2026
9
Did UVVs New CFO Hire Signal a Deeper Shift in Universals Capital Allocation Priorities
01/22/2026
10
Universal withdraws new CFO hire, keeps Kroner in role - Stock Titan
01/29/2026
 
Universal dividend paid on 2nd of February 2026
02/02/2026
11
Acquisition by Airton Hentschke of 12750 shares of Universal subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
12
Universal Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow55.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-58.8 M

Universal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,244  in Universal on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (82.00) from holding Universal or give up 1.56% of portfolio value over 90 days. Universal is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.7055% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Universal, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Universal is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.11 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Universal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Universal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.87 90 days 51.87 
about 77.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.53 (This Universal probability density function shows the probability of Universal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Universal has a beta of -0.0423. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Universal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Universal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Universal has an alpha of 0.0399, implying that it can generate a 0.0399 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Universal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Universal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9251.6353.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.4661.3763.08
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.9878.0086.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.151.151.15
Details

Universal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Universal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Universal has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of February 2026 Universal paid $ 0.82 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Universal Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Universal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Universal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Universal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments260.1 M

Universal Fundamentals Growth

Universal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Universal, and Universal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Universal Stock performance.

About Universal Performance

Evaluating Universal's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Universal has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Universal has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 159.61  94.57 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.17 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.13 

Things to note about Universal performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Universal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Universal has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of February 2026 Universal paid $ 0.82 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Universal Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
Evaluating Universal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Universal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Universal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Universal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Universal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Universal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Universal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Universal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Universal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Universal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Universal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis

When running Universal's price analysis, check to measure Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.