Universal Stock Technical Analysis

UVV Stock  USD 52.87  1.25  2.42%   
As of the 11th of February 2026, Universal has the Variance of 2.92, coefficient of variation of (9,294), and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Universal, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Universal variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Universal is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 52.87 per share. Given that Universal has information ratio of (0.07), we advise you to double-check Universal's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Universal Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Universal, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to UniversalUniversal's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Universal Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
78.0Strong Sell0Odds
Universal current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Universal analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Universal stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Universal, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Universal conference calls.
Universal Analyst Advice Details
What growth prospects exist in Tobacco sector? Can Universal capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Universal valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.32
Dividend Share
3.26
Earnings Share
4.44
Revenue Per Share
119.495
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
Understanding Universal requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Universal's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Universal's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Universal's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Universal's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Universal 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal.
0.00
11/13/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/11/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Universal on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal over 90 days. Universal is related to or competes with Afya, Phoenix Education, Dole PLC, Spectrum Brands, Youdao, Turning Point, and Ingles Markets. Universal Corporation processes and supplies leaf tobacco and plant-based ingredients worldwide More

Universal Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Universal Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal historical prices to predict the future Universal's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.7953.4955.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.1461.7663.46
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
70.9878.0086.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.151.151.15
Details

Universal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators

Universal Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Universal Stock to be very steady. Universal owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0223, which indicates the firm had a 0.0223 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Universal, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Universal's Variance of 2.92, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Coefficient Of Variation of (9,294) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0383%. Universal has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.053, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Universal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Universal is expected to be smaller as well. Universal right now has a risk of 1.72%. Please validate Universal skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Universal will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Universal has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Universal price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.64
Universal technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Universal technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Universal trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Universal Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Universal across different markets.

About Universal Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Universal on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Universal based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Universal price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Universal. By analyzing Universal's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Universal's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Universal specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.06180.0570.0354
Price To Sales Ratio0.460.470.34

Universal February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Universal help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Universal February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis

When running Universal's price analysis, check to measure Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.