Vale SA (Mexico) Performance

VALEN Stock  MXN 273.90  4.60  1.65%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vale SA holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.57, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vale SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vale SA is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Vale SA's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Vale SA's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vale SA are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak primary indicators, Vale SA displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow13.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-35.3 B
  

Vale SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,618  in Vale SA on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,772  from holding Vale SA or generate 26.7% return on investment over 90 days. Vale SA is generating 0.4155% of daily returns and assumes 2.0365% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Vale, and 92% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vale SA is expected to generate 2.73 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Vale SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 273.90 90 days 273.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vale SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vale SA probability density function shows the probability of Vale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vale SA has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vale SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vale SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vale SA has an alpha of 0.3902, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vale SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vale SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vale SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
271.87273.90275.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
246.51306.32308.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
275.40277.43279.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
219.45250.33281.21
Details

Vale SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vale SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vale SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vale SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vale SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
16.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Vale SA Fundamentals Growth

Vale Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vale SA, and Vale SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vale Stock performance.

About Vale SA Performance

By examining Vale SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vale SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vale SA is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Vale S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw materials in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. Vale S.A. was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. VALE S operates under Industrial Metals Minerals classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange.

Things to note about Vale SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vale SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vale SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Vale SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vale SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vale SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vale SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vale SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vale SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vale SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vale SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vale SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vale SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vale SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vale Stock

Vale SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vale Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vale with respect to the benefits of owning Vale SA security.