Vermilion Energy Stock Performance

VET Stock  CAD 14.00  0.09  0.64%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vermilion Energy holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.0326, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vermilion Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vermilion Energy is likely to outperform the market. Please check Vermilion Energy's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vermilion Energy's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vermilion Energy are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Vermilion Energy displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0369
Payout Ratio
0.7612
Forward Dividend Rate
0.52
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Why Vermilion Energy Inc. Common stock is listed among top recommendations - 2025 Key Lessons Free Real-Time Market Sentiment Alerts - newser.com
11/14/2025
2
Intact Investment Management Inc. Buys 336,500 Shares of Vermilion Energy Inc. VET - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
3
Insider Buying Vermilion Energy Director Buys 5,000 Shares of Stock - MarketBeat
12/15/2025
4
Assessing Vermilion Energys Valuation After Recent Share Price Slump in 2025 - Yahoo Finance
12/18/2025
5
Market Insights and Trading Signals - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/22/2025
6
Vermilion Energy Share Price Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/31/2025
7
Vermilion Energy Share Price Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
8
Vermilion Energy Cut to Sell at Wall Street Zen - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
9
Vermilion Energy Stock Price Expected to Rise, Scotiabank Analyst Says - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
10
Vermilion Energy rallies 7.9 percent this week, taking five-year gains to 150 percent - Yahoo Finance
01/28/2026
11
Financial Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow141.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-634.9 M
  

Vermilion Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,222  in Vermilion Energy on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  187.00  from holding Vermilion Energy or generate 15.3% return on investment over 90 days. Vermilion Energy is generating 0.2661% of daily returns assuming 2.5728% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 23% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Vermilion Energy, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vermilion Energy is expected to generate 3.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Vermilion Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vermilion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.00 90 days 14.00 
about 1.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vermilion Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.11 (This Vermilion Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vermilion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vermilion Energy has a beta of -0.0326. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vermilion Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vermilion Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vermilion Energy has an alpha of 0.5162, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vermilion Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vermilion Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vermilion Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5114.0816.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5811.1515.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.330.08-0.33
Details

Vermilion Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vermilion Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vermilion Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vermilion Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vermilion Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Vermilion Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vermilion Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vermilion Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vermilion Energy has accumulated 1.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vermilion Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vermilion Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vermilion Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vermilion Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (46.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.28 B.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Financial Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily

Vermilion Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vermilion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vermilion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vermilion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments131.7 M

Vermilion Energy Fundamentals Growth

Vermilion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vermilion Energy, and Vermilion Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vermilion Stock performance.

About Vermilion Energy Performance

By examining Vermilion Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vermilion Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vermilion Energy is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 17.90  28.20 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.02)(0.02)

Things to note about Vermilion Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vermilion Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vermilion Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vermilion Energy has accumulated 1.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vermilion Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vermilion Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vermilion Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vermilion Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (46.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.28 B.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Financial Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Vermilion Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vermilion Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vermilion Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vermilion Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vermilion Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vermilion Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vermilion Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vermilion Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vermilion Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vermilion Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vermilion Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Vermilion Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vermilion Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vermilion Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vermilion Energy Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vermilion Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Vermilion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vermilion Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vermilion Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vermilion Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.