Vermilion Energy Stock Price Prediction
| VET Stock | CAD 14.22 0.42 2.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.52 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.31 | Wall Street Target Price 18.27 |
Using Vermilion Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vermilion Energy from the perspective of Vermilion Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vermilion Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vermilion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vermilion Energy after-hype prediction price | CAD 14.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vermilion |
Vermilion Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vermilion Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vermilion Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vermilion Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vermilion Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vermilion Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vermilion Energy's historical news coverage. Vermilion Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.44 and 16.92, respectively. We have considered Vermilion Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vermilion Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vermilion Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vermilion Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vermilion Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vermilion Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vermilion Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.27 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.22 | 14.68 | 0.27 |
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Vermilion Energy Hype Timeline
Vermilion Energy is at this time traded for 14.22on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vermilion is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Vermilion Energy is about 17025.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.22. The company reported the revenue of 1.93 B. Net Loss for the year was (237.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.85 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Vermilion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vermilion Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vermilion Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vermilion Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Vermilion Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vermilion Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YGR | Yangarra Resources | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.19 | (2.91) | 8.68 | |
| XHB | iShares Canadian HYBrid | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.06 | (0.41) | 0.46 | (0.31) | 1.07 | |
| ALA-PA | Altagas Cum Red | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.18) | 1.15 | (1.45) | 3.73 | |
| ERE-UN | European Residential Real | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.75 | 0.16 | 3.95 | (1.58) | 20.23 | |
| RUDB | RBC Discount Bond | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.34 | (0.25) | 0.58 | (0.62) | 1.96 | |
| XEG | iShares SPTSX Capped | (0.08) | 1 per month | 1.65 | (0.07) | 2.20 | (2.34) | 8.20 | |
| SOLI-P | Solid Impact Investments | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FLSA | Fidelity LongShort Alternative | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.31 | (0.05) | 0.95 | (0.85) | 2.60 | |
| EMNT | Eminent Gold Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 3.75 | 0.02 | 10.71 | (6.90) | 26.79 |
Vermilion Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vermilion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vermilion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vermilion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vermilion Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vermilion Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vermilion Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vermilion Energy based on analysis of Vermilion Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vermilion Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vermilion Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008347 | 0.0237 | 0.0226 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.15 | 1.36 | 1.29 |
Story Coverage note for Vermilion Energy
The number of cover stories for Vermilion Energy depends on current market conditions and Vermilion Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vermilion Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vermilion Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vermilion Energy Short Properties
Vermilion Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vermilion Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vermilion Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vermilion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vermilion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.5 M |
Check out Vermilion Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Vermilion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.