Vista Gold Stock Performance

VGZ Stock  USD 2.76  0.19  6.44%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vista Gold holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 0.9, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vista Gold returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vista Gold is expected to follow. Please check Vista Gold's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vista Gold's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vista Gold are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Vista Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.67)
Five Day Return
11.74
Year To Date Return
62.98
Ten Year Return
953.95
All Time Return
(93.44)
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2002-06-19
1
South Barbecue fires up new San Antonio home in Monte Vista
11/14/2025
2
JPMorgan Reaffirms Buy Rating on Vista Energy , Keeps 68 Target
11/24/2025
3
Vista Energy Moves to Scale Up Vaca Muerta Footprint
12/17/2025
4
Vista Energy ADR Trying To Close In On Key Technical Measure
12/30/2025
5
Denver metro area school to remain closed after crawl space fire, Thunder Vista students attend other schools
01/08/2026
6
Vista Gold Sets Target for Start of Detailed Engineering and Design
01/13/2026
7
Performance Brokerage Services to Attend and Speak at the 2026 Powersports Business Accelerate Conference in Lake Buena Vista, Florida
01/15/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities15.6 M

Vista Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  167.00  in Vista Gold on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  109.00  from holding Vista Gold or generate 65.27% return on investment over 90 days. Vista Gold is generating 0.961% of daily returns assuming volatility of 5.2897% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 47% of stocks are less volatile than Vista, and above 81% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vista Gold is expected to generate 7.01 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Vista Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.76 90 days 2.76 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vista Gold probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vista Gold has a beta of 0.9. This entails Vista Gold market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vista Gold is expected to follow. Additionally Vista Gold has an alpha of 0.8651, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vista Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vista Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.147.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.678.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.228.59
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vista Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vista Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vista Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vista Gold.

Vista Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vista Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vista Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vista Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Vista Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vista Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vista Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vista Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vista Gold has about 16.95 M in cash with (5.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Vista Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Performance Brokerage Services to Attend and Speak at the 2026 Powersports Business Accelerate Conference in Lake Buena Vista, Florida

Vista Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vista Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.9 M

Vista Gold Fundamentals Growth

Vista Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vista Gold, and Vista Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vista Stock performance.

About Vista Gold Performance

Evaluating Vista Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vista Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vista Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand62.6 K65.7 K
Return On Tangible Assets 0.68  0.72 
Return On Capital Employed 0.68  0.71 
Return On Assets 0.68  0.72 
Return On Equity 0.72  0.76 

Things to note about Vista Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vista Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vista Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vista Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vista Gold has about 16.95 M in cash with (5.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Vista Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Performance Brokerage Services to Attend and Speak at the 2026 Powersports Business Accelerate Conference in Lake Buena Vista, Florida
Evaluating Vista Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vista Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vista Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vista Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vista Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vista Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vista Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vista Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vista Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vista Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vista Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis

When running Vista Gold's price analysis, check to measure Vista Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.