Vista Gold Stock Technical Analysis

VGZ Stock  USD 2.76  0.19  6.44%   
As of the 29th of January, Vista Gold has the Coefficient Of Variation of 550.46, semi deviation of 3.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1405. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vista Gold, as well as the relationship between them.

Vista Gold Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Vista, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to VistaVista Gold's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vista Gold. If investors know Vista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Vista Gold assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Vista Gold using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Vista Gold's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Vista Gold's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Vista Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Vista Gold 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vista Gold's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vista Gold.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vista Gold on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vista Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vista Gold over 90 days. Vista Gold is related to or competes with US Gold, Blue Gold, Tanzanian Royalty, Dakota Gold, GoldMining, Smith Midland, and Vox Royalty. Vista Gold Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the evaluation, acquisition, exploration, and advancement o... More

Vista Gold Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vista Gold's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vista Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vista Gold Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vista Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vista Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vista Gold historical prices to predict the future Vista Gold's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.768.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.507.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.278.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.572.262.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vista Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vista Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vista Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vista Gold.

Vista Gold January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Vista Gold Backtested Returns

Vista Gold appears to be very risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Vista Gold owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.18, which indicates the firm had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Vista Gold's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.96% is justified by implied risk. Please review Vista Gold's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1405, coefficient of variation of 550.46, and Semi Deviation of 3.55 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Vista Gold holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 0.9, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vista Gold returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vista Gold is expected to follow. Please check Vista Gold's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vista Gold's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Vista Gold has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vista Gold time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vista Gold price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Vista Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.09
Vista Gold technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vista Gold technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vista Gold trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Vista Gold Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Vista Gold volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Vista Gold Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Vista Gold on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vista Gold based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Vista Gold price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Vista Gold. By analyzing Vista Gold's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vista Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Vista Gold specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Vista Gold January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Vista help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vista from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Vista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Vista Gold January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vista stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis

When running Vista Gold's price analysis, check to measure Vista Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.