Vista Gold Stock Price Prediction
| VGZ Stock | USD 0.61 0.02 3.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
27
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.06) | Wall Street Target Price 2.75 |
Using Vista Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vista Gold from the perspective of Vista Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vista Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vista because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vista Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 0.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vista |
Vista Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vista Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vista Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vista Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vista Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vista Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vista Gold's historical news coverage. Vista Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.58, respectively. We have considered Vista Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vista Gold is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vista Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vista Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vista Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vista Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vista Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 3.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.61 | 0.61 | 0.00 |
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Vista Gold Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Vista Gold is traded for 0.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vista is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vista Gold is about 79400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.61. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Vista Gold was at this time reported as 0.16. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 183.43. Vista Gold had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 19th of June 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Vista Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vista Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vista Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vista Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Vista Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vista Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCO | Fortitude Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 3.19 | (2.33) | 16.65 | |
| GLDG | GoldMining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (2.91) | 11.50 |
Vista Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vista price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vista using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vista charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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About Vista Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vista Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vista Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vista Gold based on analysis of Vista Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vista Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vista Gold's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vista Gold
The number of cover stories for Vista Gold depends on current market conditions and Vista Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vista Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vista Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vista Gold Short Properties
Vista Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vista Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vista Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vista Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis
When running Vista Gold's price analysis, check to measure Vista Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.