Xpo Logistics Stock Performance

XPO Stock  USD 147.27  2.33  1.56%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, XPO Logistics holds a performance score of 9. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.74, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, XPO Logistics will likely underperform. Please check XPO Logistics' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether XPO Logistics' historical returns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in XPO Logistics are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain basic indicators, XPO Logistics displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.56)
Five Day Return
(0.24)
Year To Date Return
6.11
Ten Year Return
1.8 K
All Time Return
24.5 K
Last Split Factor
1683:1000
Last Split Date
2022-11-01
1
XPO Q3 Deep Dive Pricing Power and AI-Driven Efficiency Boost Margins Amid Soft Freight Environment
10/31/2025
2
XPO Shares Up 9.6 percent Time to Buy
11/21/2025
3
Russell Investments Group Ltd. Sells 24,709 Shares of XPO, Inc. XPO
12/04/2025
4
Disposition of 5542 shares by Bradley S Jacobs of XPO Logistics at 107.24 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
5
What XPO s CEO-Chairman Power Shift Means For Shareholders
12/17/2025
6
Disposition of 1374 shares by Allaire Bella Loykhter of XPO Logistics subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
7
Should You Think About Buying XPO, Inc. Now
01/05/2026
8
XPO Stock Price Expected to Rise, TD Cowen Analyst Says - MarketBeat
01/09/2026
9
XPO Schedules Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call for Thursday, February 5, 2026
01/12/2026
10
STG Logistics files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
01/13/2026
11
XPO Named a Worlds Most Admired Company by Fortune
01/21/2026
12
GXO Logistics Sets New 1-Year High Heres Why
01/22/2026
13
XPOs Fortune Recognition And What It May Mean For Valuation
01/23/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow412 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-702 M

XPO Logistics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,366  in XPO Logistics on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,361  from holding XPO Logistics or generate 19.09% return on investment over 90 days. XPO Logistics is generating 0.318% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.7113% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than XPO, and above 94% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon XPO Logistics is expected to generate 3.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

XPO Logistics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of XPO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 147.27 90 days 147.27 
about 15.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XPO Logistics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.96 (This XPO Logistics probability density function shows the probability of XPO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.74 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, XPO Logistics will likely underperform. Additionally XPO Logistics has an alpha of 0.0536, implying that it can generate a 0.0536 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   XPO Logistics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XPO Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XPO Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
146.58149.31152.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.54150.01152.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
148.38151.11153.84
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
142.04156.08173.25
Details

XPO Logistics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XPO Logistics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XPO Logistics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XPO Logistics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XPO Logistics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.74
σ
Overall volatility
7.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

XPO Logistics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XPO Logistics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XPO Logistics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: XPOs Fortune Recognition And What It May Mean For Valuation

XPO Logistics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XPO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XPO Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XPO Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120 M
Cash And Short Term Investments246 M

XPO Logistics Fundamentals Growth

XPO Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of XPO Logistics, and XPO Logistics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on XPO Stock performance.

About XPO Logistics Performance

By examining XPO Logistics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into XPO Logistics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that XPO Logistics is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.46  2.58 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.23 

Things to note about XPO Logistics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about XPO Logistics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for XPO Logistics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: XPOs Fortune Recognition And What It May Mean For Valuation
Evaluating XPO Logistics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate XPO Logistics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing XPO Logistics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether XPO Logistics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining XPO Logistics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating XPO Logistics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of XPO Logistics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of XPO Logistics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into XPO Logistics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating XPO Logistics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact XPO Logistics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether XPO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XPO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xpo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xpo Logistics Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in XPO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.
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Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
2.78
Revenue Per Share
68.664
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.028
Return On Assets
0.0567
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.