Xpo Logistics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XPO Stock | USD 149.69 3.16 2.16% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding XPO Logistics is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of XPO Logistics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out XPO Logistics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as XPO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards XPO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
XPO |
Execute XPO Logistics Buy or Sell Advice
The XPO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on XPO Logistics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in XPO Logistics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute XPO Logistics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
XPO Logistics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Oppenheimers top stock picks heading into year-end |
XPO Logistics Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of XPO Logistics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of XPO Logistics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of XPO Logistics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use XPO Logistics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of XPO Logistics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for XPO Logistics.
| Mean Return | 0.37 | Value At Risk | -2.75 | Potential Upside | 4.34 | Standard Deviation | 2.92 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of XPO Logistics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
XPO Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as XPO Logistics, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XPO Logistics back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Findlay Park Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 1.4 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 11.5 M | Mfn Partners Management, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 11.4 M |
XPO Logistics Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (127M) | 1.7B | (1.8B) | 197M | (51M) | (48.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 190M | 359M | 408M | 311M | (851M) | (808.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 739M | 766M | 476M | 392M | 432M | 254.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (54M) | (28M) | 69M | (384M) | 48M | 50.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 601M | 526M | 313M | 521M | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Net Income | 440M | 117M | 323M | 666M | 192M | 110.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 387M | 2.1B | 273M | 470M | 419M | 295.9M | |
| Change Receivables | (67M) | (382M) | (502M) | (100M) | (90M) | (94.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.7B | 1.3B | (3.1B) | (20M) | (18M) | (17.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 38M | (71M) | 93M | 239M | 274.9M | 288.6M | |
| Investments | 186M | (357M) | (277M) | 245M | (579M) | (550.1M) |
XPO Logistics Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to XPO Logistics or Air Freight & Logistics sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that XPO Logistics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a XPO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
XPO Logistics Volatility Alert
XPO Logistics currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure XPO Logistics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact XPO Logistics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.XPO Logistics Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing XPO Logistics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze XPO Logistics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between XPO Logistics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as XPO Logistics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of XPO Logistics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XPO Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare XPO Logistics to competition |
| Fundamentals | XPO Logistics | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0632 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 20.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 116.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.81 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.19 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.76 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.39 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.74 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.62 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 993 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 192 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 460 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.11 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.16 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 682 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.08 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.08 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.50 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 145.68 | |
| Number Of Employees | 38 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 17.06 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.49 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 185 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Wendy Cassity of 8791 shares of XPO Logistics subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
XPO Logistics Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as XPO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About XPO Logistics Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell XPO Logistics? Buying financial instruments such as XPO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out XPO Logistics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | Earnings Share 3.08 | Revenue Per Share 69.741 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 | Return On Assets 0.0632 |
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.