Xpo Logistics Stock Analysis

XPO Stock  USD 149.69  3.16  2.16%   
XPO Logistics is overvalued with Real Value of 120.82 and Target Price of 82.68. The main objective of XPO Logistics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what XPO Logistics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of XPO Logistics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The XPO Logistics stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. XPO Logistics is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. XPO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in XPO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.

XPO Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.5. XPO Logistics had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1683:1000 split on the 1st of November 2022. XPO Logistics, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut. Xpo Logistics operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 44000 people. For more information please call Bradley Jacobs at 855 976 6951 or visit https://www.xpo.com.

XPO Logistics Quarterly Total Revenue

2.05 Billion

XPO Logistics Investment Alerts

XPO Logistics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
XPO Logistics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Oppenheimers top stock picks heading into year-end

XPO Logistics Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by XPO Logistics to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
7th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

XPO Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact XPO Logistics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-08-05
2015-06-30-0.14-0.16-0.0214 
2015-02-18
2014-12-31-0.13-0.10.0323 
2017-02-21
2016-12-310.20.240.0420 
View All Earnings Estimates

XPO Logistics Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

XPO Logistics' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates XPO Logistics' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of XPO Logistics' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect XPO Logistics' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

XPO Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
M
Fidelity International Ltd2024-06-30
1.8 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.6 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
1.5 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.5 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
1.5 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
1.5 M
Findlay Park Partners Llp2024-09-30
1.4 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
11.5 M
Mfn Partners Management, Lp2024-06-30
11.4 M
Note, although XPO Logistics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

XPO Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 17.06 B.

XPO Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.05 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.09 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.09 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.16 

Management Efficiency

XPO Logistics has Return on Asset of 0.0632 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0632 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2608 %, implying that it generated $0.2608 on every 100 dollars invested. XPO Logistics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well XPO Logistics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.04. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.13. At this time, XPO Logistics' Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 10.91  11.17 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(5.64)(5.92)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 13.96  8.06 
Price Book Value Ratio 8.03  8.43 
Enterprise Value Multiple 13.96  8.06 
Price Fair Value 8.03  8.43 
Enterprise Value6.9 B7.2 B
Effective leadership at XPO Logistics drives its competitive edge in the market. Our analysis focuses on how this translates to financial performance and stock value.
Operating Margin
0.0935
Profit Margin
0.0457
Beta
1.923
Return On Assets
0.0632
Return On Equity
0.2608

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of November, XPO Logistics maintains the Downside Deviation of 2.47, mean deviation of 2.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1039. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of XPO Logistics, as well as the relationship between them.

XPO Logistics Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nineteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. XPO Logistics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for XPO Logistics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

XPO Logistics Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific XPO Logistics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on XPO Logistics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases XPO Logistics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

XPO Logistics Outstanding Bonds

XPO Logistics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. XPO Logistics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most XPO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when XPO Logistics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

XPO Logistics Predictive Daily Indicators

XPO Logistics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of XPO Logistics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

XPO Logistics Corporate Filings

F4
18th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
7th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
6th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
4th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
1st of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

XPO Logistics Forecast Models

XPO Logistics' time-series forecasting models are one of many XPO Logistics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary XPO Logistics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About XPO Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how XPO Logistics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling XPO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as XPO Logistics. By using and applying XPO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying XPO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.04 
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.19 

Current XPO Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. XPO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. XPO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
82.68Strong Buy21Odds
XPO Logistics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most XPO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand XPO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of XPO Logistics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to XPO conference calls.
XPO Analyst Advice Details

XPO Stock Analysis Indicators

XPO Logistics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how XPO Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading XPO Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying XPO Logistics stock analysis, traders can identify XPO Logistics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow470 M
Long Term Debt3.3 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.3 B
Tax Provision56 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.123
Property Plant And Equipment Net3.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments412 M
Cash412 M
Accounts Payable532 M
Net Debt3.7 B
50 Day M A122.1446
Total Current Liabilities1.6 B
Other Operating Expenses7.3 B
Non Current Assets Total5.9 B
Forward Price Earnings32.5733
Non Currrent Assets Other196 M
Stock Based Compensation78 M
When determining whether XPO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XPO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xpo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xpo Logistics Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in XPO Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.123
Earnings Share
3.08
Revenue Per Share
69.741
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
0.0632
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.