Fiberhome Telecommunicatio (China) Price Prediction

600498 Stock   17.58  0.40  2.22%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's share price is above 70 as of 26th of November 2024. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Fiberhome, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.374
Wall Street Target Price
19.71
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.16
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Using Fiberhome Telecommunicatio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies from the perspective of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fiberhome Telecommunicatio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fiberhome because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 17.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7614.7217.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8016.7619.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fiberhome Telecommunicatio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fiberhome Telecommunicatio.

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fiberhome Telecommunicatio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's historical news coverage. Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.92 and 20.84, respectively. We have considered Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.58
17.88
After-hype Price
20.84
Upside
Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fiberhome Telecommunicatio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fiberhome Telecommunicatio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
2.96
  0.30 
  0.07 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.58
17.88
1.71 
435.29  
Notes

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Hype Timeline

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is presently traded for 17.58on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Fiberhome is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.71%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is about 1925.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.65. The company reported the revenue of 31.13 B. Net Income was 505.37 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.47 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's future price movements. Getting to know how Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fiberhome Telecommunicatio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002973Qiaoyin Environmental Tech 0.00 0 per month 2.48 (0) 5.61 (4.46) 15.26 
002573Beijing SPC Environment 0.02 1 per month 2.18  0.05  3.93 (3.41) 17.04 
601007Jinling Hotel Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.17  0.01  2.65 (2.85) 18.23 
002400Guangdong Advertising Co 0.47 2 per month 3.01  0.17  9.96 (5.21) 19.92 
000685Zhongshan Public Utilities 0.38 1 per month 1.92  0.06  4.01 (2.97) 19.03 
000558Lander Sports Development(0.04)1 per month 2.81  0.09  6.08 (4.24) 18.29 
600707Caihong Display Devices(0.05)1 per month 2.62  0.02  5.28 (4.64) 16.48 
300958BCEG Environmental Remediation 0.45 1 per month 3.13  0.05  5.34 (4.51) 22.61 

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fiberhome price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fiberhome using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fiberhome charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio based on analysis of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Fiberhome Telecommunicatio

The number of cover stories for Fiberhome Telecommunicatio depends on current market conditions and Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Fiberhome Telecommunicatio Short Properties

Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Complementary Tools for Fiberhome Stock analysis

When running Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's price analysis, check to measure Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiberhome Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiberhome Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiberhome Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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