Aon Plc Stock Price Patterns
| AON Stock | USD 345.74 2.79 0.81% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.344 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.7964 | EPS Estimate Current Year 16.966 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.0251 | Wall Street Target Price 394.8421 |
Using Aon PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aon PLC from the perspective of Aon PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aon PLC using Aon PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aon PLC's stock price.
Aon PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Aon PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aon PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aon PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 355.5375 | Short Percent 0.0092 | Short Ratio 2.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 347.629 |
Aon PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aon PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aon PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aon PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aon PLC.
Aon PLC Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
Aon PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aon PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aon PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aon PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aon PLC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aon PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aon PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 345.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aon PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Aon PLC trading at USD 345.74, that is roughly USD 0.0756 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aon PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aon PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Aon PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aon PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aon PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aon PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aon PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aon PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aon PLC's historical news coverage. Aon PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 344.51 and 346.71, respectively. We have considered Aon PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aon PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aon PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aon PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aon PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aon PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aon PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.10 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
345.74 | 345.61 | 0.04 |
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Aon PLC Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Aon PLC is traded for 345.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Aon is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 345.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 16.32%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Aon PLC is about 178.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 345.73. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.47. Aon PLC recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of May 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Aon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aon PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aon PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aon PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Aon PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aon PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AJG | Arthur J Gallagher | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.83 | (3.84) | 8.71 | |
| MMC | MMC Old | (1.54) | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.97 | (1.64) | 9.33 | |
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.26 | 2.99 | (2.03) | 7.66 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.46) | 8 per month | 0.71 | 0.22 | 1.65 | (1.29) | 6.23 | |
| BK | The Bank of | (0.54) | 7 per month | 0.92 | 0.12 | 2.07 | (1.70) | 5.56 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.11 | 3.85 | (2.70) | 9.72 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.21 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 8.20 | |
| APO | Apollo Global Management | (0.83) | 7 per month | 1.87 | 0.04 | 2.62 | (3.64) | 10.80 | |
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | (3.62) | 8 per month | 0.63 | 0.20 | 2.28 | (1.53) | 5.33 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 0.59 | 11 per month | 0.89 | 0.15 | 1.52 | (1.62) | 6.42 |
Aon PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aon PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aon PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aon PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aon PLC based on analysis of Aon PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aon PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aon PLC's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007402 | 0.008512 | 0.008087 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.84 | 4.35 | 4.57 |
Pair Trading with Aon PLC
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aon PLC position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aon PLC will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Aon Stock
| 0.43 | BAESF | BAE Systems PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | ZTLLF | Zonetail | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | PRHI | Presurance Holdings Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | MRZLF | Mirasol Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | NSFDF | NXT Energy Solutions | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aon PLC could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aon PLC when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aon PLC - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aon PLC to buy it.
The correlation of Aon PLC is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aon PLC moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aon PLC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aon PLC can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Aon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Aon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aon PLC guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Will Insurance Brokers sector continue expanding? Could Aon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aon PLC. If investors know Aon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aon PLC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.344 | Dividend Share 2.91 | Earnings Share 12.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 |
Investors evaluate Aon PLC using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aon PLC's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aon PLC's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aon PLC's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aon PLC represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aon PLC's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.