Natural Resource Partners Stock Price Prediction
| NRP Stock | USD 107.22 0.35 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Wall Street Target Price 96 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) |
Using Natural Resource hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Resource Partners from the perspective of Natural Resource response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natural Resource using Natural Resource's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natural using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natural Resource's stock price.
Natural Resource Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Natural Resource's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Resource Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Resource's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Resource stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Resource's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Natural Resource to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Natural because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Natural Resource after-hype prediction price | USD 107.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Natural contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Natural Resource Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Natural Resource trading at USD 107.22, that is roughly USD 0.0328 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Natural Resource's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Natural Resource Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Natural Resource After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Natural Resource at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natural Resource or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Natural Resource, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Natural Resource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Natural Resource's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natural Resource's historical news coverage. Natural Resource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 105.29 and 109.15, respectively. We have considered Natural Resource's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Natural Resource is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natural Resource Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Natural Resource Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Natural Resource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Resource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natural Resource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.92 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
107.22 | 107.22 | 0.00 |
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Natural Resource Hype Timeline
On the 18th of January 2025 Natural Resource Partners is traded for 107.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Natural is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Natural Resource is about 3147.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 107.21. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Natural Resource was now reported as 38.95. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.41. Natural Resource Partners last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2024. The entity had 1:10 split on the 18th of February 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Natural Resource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Natural Resource Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Natural Resource's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natural Resource's future price movements. Getting to know how Natural Resource's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natural Resource may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HNRG | Hallador Energy | 0.02 | 8 per month | 2.87 | 0.09 | 7.25 | (5.09) | 32.02 | |
| CEIX | Consol Energy | 0.59 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.05 | (3.57) | 17.96 | |
| ADOOY | Adaro Energy Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.82 | 0.12 | 54.86 | (31.40) | 188.38 | |
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 2.83 | (2.19) | 7.48 | |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corp | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.26 | (5.04) | 16.78 | |
| NC | NACCO Industries | (0.79) | 10 per month | 1.82 | 0.09 | 6.40 | (3.30) | 12.57 | |
| TNGRF | Thungela Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | (0) | 5.15 | (4.76) | 13.69 | |
| GRYRF | Geo Energy Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.73 | |
| TBNGY | Bukit Asam Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.49 | (4.47) | 26.82 | |
| TERCF | TerraCom Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 18.18 | (20.00) | 50.79 |
Natural Resource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Natural Resource Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Natural Resource stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Natural Resource Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Natural Resource based on analysis of Natural Resource hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Natural Resource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Natural Resource's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0949 | 0.0787 | 0.0709 | 0.1 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.07 | 3.98 | 4.57 | 6.05 |
Story Coverage note for Natural Resource
The number of cover stories for Natural Resource depends on current market conditions and Natural Resource's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Resource is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Resource's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Natural Resource Short Properties
Natural Resource's future price predictability will typically decrease when Natural Resource's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natural Resource Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natural Resource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Resource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 M |
Additional Tools for Natural Stock Analysis
When running Natural Resource's price analysis, check to measure Natural Resource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Resource is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Resource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Resource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Resource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Resource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.