BBVA Banco (Germany) Price Prediction
| BFP Stock | EUR 15.00 0.90 5.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BBVA Banco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BBVA Banco Frances from the perspective of BBVA Banco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BBVA Banco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BBVA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BBVA Banco after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BBVA |
BBVA Banco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BBVA Banco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BBVA Banco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BBVA Banco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BBVA Banco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BBVA Banco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BBVA Banco's historical news coverage. BBVA Banco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.47 and 20.33, respectively. We have considered BBVA Banco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BBVA Banco is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BBVA Banco Frances is based on 3 months time horizon.
BBVA Banco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BBVA Banco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BBVA Banco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BBVA Banco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 4.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.00 | 15.90 | 0.00 |
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BBVA Banco Hype Timeline
BBVA Banco Frances is currently traded for 15.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BBVA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on BBVA Banco is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BBVA Banco Frances last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 22nd of September 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out BBVA Banco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BBVA Banco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BBVA Banco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BBVA Banco's future price movements. Getting to know how BBVA Banco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BBVA Banco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 3YB | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 4.35 | (3.85) | 17.99 | |
| DBK | Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.06 | 3.40 | (2.68) | 8.59 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.43 | (4.74) | 21.59 | |
| 6NM | NMI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (2.69) | 9.64 | |
| 39O1 | Origin Agritech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.52 | 0.05 | 9.64 | (5.38) | 34.42 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 6.06 | (8.57) | 52.42 | |
| TLX | Talanx AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (1.64) | 7.58 | |
| TM9 | NorAm Drilling AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.32 | (0.01) | 5.56 | (6.43) | 36.50 | |
| INVN | Identiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | 0.02 | 5.61 | (4.98) | 14.01 | |
| IUI1 | INTUITIVE SURGICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.08 | 2.87 | (1.96) | 10.01 |
BBVA Banco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BBVA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BBVA using various technical indicators. When you analyze BBVA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BBVA Banco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BBVA Banco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BBVA Banco Frances, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BBVA Banco based on analysis of BBVA Banco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BBVA Banco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BBVA Banco's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BBVA Banco
The number of cover stories for BBVA Banco depends on current market conditions and BBVA Banco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BBVA Banco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BBVA Banco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BBVA Banco Short Properties
BBVA Banco's future price predictability will typically decrease when BBVA Banco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BBVA Banco Frances often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BBVA Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.7 M |
Complementary Tools for BBVA Stock analysis
When running BBVA Banco's price analysis, check to measure BBVA Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBVA Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BBVA Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBVA Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBVA Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBVA Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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