BBVA Banco (Germany) Volatility

BFP Stock  EUR 15.00  0.50  3.23%   
BBVA Banco is somewhat reliable given 3 months investment horizon. BBVA Banco Frances secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.24, which signifies that the company had a 0.24% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.09% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use BBVA Banco Coefficient Of Variation of 427.79, market risk adjusted performance of 1.11, and Mean Deviation of 3.41 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to BBVA Banco's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
BBVA Banco Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of BBVA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use BBVA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of BBVA Banco volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as BBVA Banco can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of BBVA Banco at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of BBVA Banco's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving together with BBVA Stock

  0.85BBK Truist FinancialPairCorr
  0.87OCBB OVERSEA CHINUNSPADR/2PairCorr
  0.89OCBA Oversea-Chinese BankingLimitedPairCorr
  0.89UOB0 UTD OV BKPairCorr
  0.61FV9J CAIXABANK UNADR 13PairCorr

Moving against BBVA Stock

  0.890KJ ABERFORTH SMCOS TRLSPairCorr
  0.72SEBA Skandinaviska EnskildaPairCorr
  0.7SG9 Strix Group PlcPairCorr
  0.66RFC4 COPAUR MINERALS INCPairCorr
  0.323J8 JPM INDIAN INVTPairCorr

BBVA Banco Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

BBVA Banco's beta coefficient measures the volatility of BBVA stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents BBVA stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, BBVA Banco's beta of 0.94 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk BBVA Banco stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. BBVA Banco Frances shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BBVA Banco's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BBVA Banco's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze BBVA Banco Frances Demand Trend
Check current 90 days BBVA Banco correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

BBVA Beta

    
  0.94  
BBVA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  4.48  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by BBVA Banco's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of BBVA Banco's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in bbva stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in BBVA Banco.

BBVA Banco Frances Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which BBVA Banco stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with BBVA Banco's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of BBVA Banco's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of BBVA Banco's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures BBVA Banco's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict BBVA Banco's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for BBVA Banco's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on BBVA Banco's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. BBVA Banco Frances Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

BBVA Banco Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon BBVA Banco has a beta of 0.9423 suggesting BBVA Banco Frances market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BBVA Banco is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BBVA Banco or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BBVA Banco's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BBVA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
BBVA Banco Frances has an alpha of 0.9256, implying that it can generate a 0.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
BBVA Banco's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how bbva stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a BBVA Banco Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

BBVA Banco Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of BBVA Banco is 410.75. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 20.05 and standard deviation of 4.48. The mean deviation of BBVA Banco Frances is currently at 3.41. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.93
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
4.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

BBVA Banco Stock Return Volatility

BBVA Banco historical daily return volatility represents how much of BBVA Banco stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 4.4783% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About BBVA Banco Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of BBVA Banco or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of BBVA Banco may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to BBVA's beta indicator, it measures the risk of BBVA Banco and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of BBVA Banco fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. provides various banking products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. was founded in 1886 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. BANCO BBVA operates under BanksRegional classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 5924 people.
BBVA Banco's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on BBVA Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much BBVA Banco's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize BBVA Banco's volatility to invest better

Higher BBVA Banco's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of BBVA Banco Frances stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. BBVA Banco Frances stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of BBVA Banco Frances investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in BBVA Banco's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of BBVA Banco's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

BBVA Banco Investment Opportunity

BBVA Banco Frances has a volatility of 4.48 and is 5.82 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of BBVA Banco Frances is lower than 39 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use BBVA Banco Frances to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of BBVA Banco to be traded at €14.4 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between BBVA Banco Frances and DJI is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding BBVA Banco Frances and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

BBVA Banco Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of BBVA Banco's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BBVA Banco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of BBVA Banco stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

BBVA Banco Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against BBVA Banco as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. BBVA Banco's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, BBVA Banco's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to BBVA Banco Frances.

Complementary Tools for BBVA Stock analysis

When running BBVA Banco's price analysis, check to measure BBVA Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBVA Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BBVA Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBVA Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBVA Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBVA Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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