Coinbase Global Stock Price Prediction
| COIN Stock | USD 213.48 3.47 1.60% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.306 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3581 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8143 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6491 | Wall Street Target Price 344.8113 |
Using Coinbase Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coinbase Global from the perspective of Coinbase Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Coinbase Global using Coinbase Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Coinbase using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Coinbase Global's stock price.
Coinbase Global Short Interest
An investor who is long Coinbase Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Coinbase Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge Coinbase Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 290.1042 | Short Percent 0.0857 | Short Ratio 2.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 16 M | 50 Day MA 253.6492 |
Coinbase Global Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Coinbase Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coinbase. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coinbase can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coinbase Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Coinbase Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Coinbase Global.
Coinbase Global Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Coinbase Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Coinbase Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coinbase Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coinbase Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coinbase Global's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Coinbase Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Coinbase because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Coinbase Global after-hype prediction price | USD 213.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Coinbase contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Coinbase Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Coinbase Global trading at USD 213.48, that is roughly USD 0.0987 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Coinbase Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Coinbase Global options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Coinbase Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Coinbase Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coinbase Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coinbase Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coinbase Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coinbase Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coinbase Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coinbase Global's historical news coverage. Coinbase Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 209.88 and 217.08, respectively. We have considered Coinbase Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coinbase Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coinbase Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coinbase Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coinbase Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coinbase Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coinbase Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 3.62 | 164.05 | 0.60 | 26 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 26 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
213.48 | 213.48 | 0.00 |
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Coinbase Global Hype Timeline
Coinbase Global is currently traded for 213.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -164.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.6. Coinbase is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 1.66%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coinbase Global is about 452.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 214.08. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Coinbase Global was currently reported as 59.62. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.57. Coinbase Global had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the November 8, 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 26 days. Check out Coinbase Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Coinbase Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coinbase Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coinbase Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Coinbase Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coinbase Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange | (0.43) | 12 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 2.00 | (1.61) | 5.98 | |
| MCO | Moodys | 8.21 | 32 per month | 1.38 | 0.06 | 1.66 | (2.32) | 9.60 | |
| CME | CME Group | (0.1) | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.01 | 1.99 | (2.07) | 5.09 | |
| MFG | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.23 | 2.99 | (2.03) | 7.66 | |
| MMC | MMC Old | 1.35 | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.97 | (1.64) | 9.33 | |
| BAM | Brookfield Asset Management | (1.46) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.15 | (3.66) | 6.75 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.46) | 9 per month | 0.72 | 0.19 | 1.65 | (1.04) | 6.23 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.61 | 7 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 4.33 | (2.70) | 10.26 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | 1.35 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.68) | 4.05 | |
| AON | Aon PLC | (1.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.86 | (1.77) | 6.25 |
Coinbase Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coinbase price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coinbase using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coinbase charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Coinbase Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Coinbase Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Coinbase Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coinbase Global based on analysis of Coinbase Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Coinbase Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coinbase Global's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 74.1 | 50.88 | 45.79 | PTB Ratio | 6.53 | 5.98 | 6.87 |
Pair Trading with Coinbase Global
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Coinbase Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Coinbase Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Coinbase Stock
| 0.83 | HSPT | Horizon Space Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | IPOD | Dune Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | DMAA | Drugs Made In | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | VACH | Voyager Acquisition Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | LPAA | Launch One Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | UBS | UBS Group AG | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Coinbase Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Coinbase Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Coinbase Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Coinbase Global to buy it.
The correlation of Coinbase Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Coinbase Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Coinbase Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Coinbase Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Coinbase Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Coinbase Stock, please use our How to Invest in Coinbase Global guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Diversified Capital Markets space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coinbase Global. If investors know Coinbase will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coinbase Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.306 | Earnings Share 11.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.589 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Coinbase Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coinbase that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coinbase Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coinbase Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coinbase Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coinbase Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coinbase Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coinbase Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coinbase Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.