Contango Ore Stock Price Patterns
| CTGO Stock | USD 25.57 2.01 7.29% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.64 | Wall Street Target Price 36.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.13) |
Using Contango ORE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Contango ORE from the perspective of Contango ORE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Contango ORE using Contango ORE's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Contango using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Contango ORE's stock price.
Contango ORE Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Contango ORE's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Contango ORE stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Contango ORE's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Contango ORE stock will not fluctuate a lot when Contango ORE's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Contango ORE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Contango because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Contango ORE after-hype prediction price | USD 25.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Contango contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Contango ORE will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Contango ORE trading at USD 25.57, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Contango ORE's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Contango ORE options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Contango ORE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Contango ORE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Contango ORE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Contango ORE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Contango ORE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Contango ORE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Contango ORE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Contango ORE's historical news coverage. Contango ORE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.89 and 29.69, respectively. We have considered Contango ORE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Contango ORE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Contango ORE is based on 3 months time horizon.
Contango ORE Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Contango ORE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Contango ORE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Contango ORE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.90 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.57 | 25.79 | 0.86 |
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Contango ORE Hype Timeline
Contango ORE is currently traded for 25.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Contango is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is forecasted to be 0.86%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Contango ORE is about 994.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.70. Net Loss for the year was (38.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Contango ORE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Contango ORE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Contango ORE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Contango ORE's future price movements. Getting to know how Contango ORE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Contango ORE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLDG | GoldMining | (0.01) | 6 per month | 4.90 | 0.01 | 9.45 | (8.90) | 28.50 | |
| USAU | US Gold Corp | (0.05) | 7 per month | 4.08 | 0.03 | 7.02 | (6.07) | 24.87 | |
| HYMC | Hycroft Mining Holding | 3.08 | 12 per month | 5.50 | 0.27 | 19.48 | (11.53) | 67.66 | |
| VGZ | Vista Gold | (0.03) | 8 per month | 5.13 | 0.09 | 11.63 | (7.66) | 33.87 | |
| DC | Dakota Gold Corp | 0.12 | 10 per month | 3.06 | 0.13 | 8.15 | (5.39) | 29.80 | |
| BGL | Blue Gold Limited | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 13.74 | (16.33) | 124.55 | |
| PLG | Platinum Group Metals | (0.06) | 8 per month | 5.81 | 0.03 | 8.91 | (10.14) | 37.93 | |
| CLW | Clearwater Paper | 0.87 | 9 per month | 2.53 | (0.01) | 4.90 | (3.34) | 15.05 | |
| THM | International Tower Hill | (0.10) | 8 per month | 4.43 | 0.08 | 13.61 | (8.57) | 29.38 | |
| TRX | Tanzanian Royalty Exploration | 0.06 | 6 per month | 5.80 | 0.20 | 12.87 | (8.47) | 52.20 |
Contango ORE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Contango price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Contango using various technical indicators. When you analyze Contango charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Contango ORE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Contango ORE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Contango ORE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Contango ORE based on analysis of Contango ORE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Contango ORE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Contango ORE's related companies.
Pair Trading with Contango ORE
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Contango ORE position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Contango ORE will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Contango Stock
Moving against Contango Stock
| 0.81 | GEO | Empire Metals Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | ADC | Acdc Metals | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | CDB | Cordoba Minerals Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | PWM | Power Metals Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Contango ORE could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Contango ORE when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Contango ORE - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Contango ORE to buy it.
The correlation of Contango ORE is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Contango ORE moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Contango ORE moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Contango ORE can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Contango ORE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Contango Stock, please use our How to Invest in Contango ORE guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Will Diversified Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Contango diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Contango ORE. Projected growth potential of Contango fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Contango ORE data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Contango ORE using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Contango ORE's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Contango ORE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Contango ORE's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Contango ORE should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Contango ORE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.