Despegar Corp Stock Price Prediction
| DESP Stock | USD 18.49 0.78 4.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.72) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.79 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0492 | Wall Street Target Price 18 |
Using Despegar Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Despegar Corp from the perspective of Despegar Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Despegar Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Despegar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Despegar Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 18.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Despegar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Despegar Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Despegar Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Despegar Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Despegar Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Despegar Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Despegar Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Despegar Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Despegar Corp's historical news coverage. Despegar Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.06 and 21.82, respectively. We have considered Despegar Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Despegar Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Despegar Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Despegar Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Despegar Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Despegar Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Despegar Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.78 | 3.38 | 0.05 | 9.45 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.49 | 18.44 | 0.27 |
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Despegar Corp Hype Timeline
Despegar Corp is currently traded for 18.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 9.45. Despegar is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.78%. The volatility of related hype on Despegar Corp is about 27.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.94. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 192.54. Despegar Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Despegar Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Despegar Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Despegar Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Despegar Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Despegar Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Despegar Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YTRA | Yatra Online | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.21 | 0.04 | 4.97 | (2.86) | 17.55 | |
| SABRP | Sabre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.40 | (0.01) | 7.99 | (6.16) | 18.31 | |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings | 0.03 | 9 per month | 2.15 | 0.17 | 8.16 | (3.83) | 29.57 | |
| MOND | Mondee Holdings | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.87 | (10.11) | 43.48 | |
| EXPE | Expedia Group | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.90 | 0.22 | 3.76 | (1.76) | 7.76 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | 0.08 | 12 per month | 2.71 | 0.18 | 8.09 | (3.99) | 21.01 | |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | 129.40 | 9 per month | 0.51 | 0.30 | 2.23 | (1.48) | 6.36 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | 0.01 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.18 | 3.13 | (2.28) | 6.85 | |
| MMYT | MakeMyTrip Limited | 3.86 | 10 per month | 3.67 | 0.05 | 6.73 | (5.48) | 19.27 | |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corp | 0.04 | 8 per month | 3.30 | 0.04 | 9.26 | (5.98) | 51.45 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | (0.33) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.08 | (4.39) | 16.78 |
Despegar Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Despegar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Despegar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Despegar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Despegar Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Despegar Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Despegar Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Despegar Corp based on analysis of Despegar Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Despegar Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Despegar Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0125 | 0.0441 | 0.0243 | 0.0163 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.48 | 0.73 | 1.03 | 0.98 |
Story Coverage note for Despegar Corp
The number of cover stories for Despegar Corp depends on current market conditions and Despegar Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Despegar Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Despegar Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Despegar Corp Short Properties
Despegar Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Despegar Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Despegar Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Despegar Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Despegar Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 77.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 214.6 M |
Additional Tools for Despegar Stock Analysis
When running Despegar Corp's price analysis, check to measure Despegar Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Despegar Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Despegar Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Despegar Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Despegar Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Despegar Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.