First Community Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 35.12 37.83 51.30 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 43.25 45.96 48.67 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 27.30 30.00 33.30 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.71 0.71 0.71 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Community. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Community's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Community's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Community Banc.

First Community After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Community Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.13	2.73	0.05	0.03	8 Events / Month	4 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
46.64	46.69	0.11	700.00   Notes

First Community Hype Timeline

First Community Banc is currently traded for 46.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 46.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on First Community is about 1300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.61. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 157.15 M. Net Income was 48.02 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 143.27 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out First Community Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

First Community Related Hype Analysis

First Community Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of First Community stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Community Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Community based on analysis of First Community hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for First Community depends on current market conditions and First Community's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Community is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Community's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Community's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Community's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Community Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.