First Community Bancshares Stock Technical Analysis
| FCBC Stock | USD 41.31 0.41 1.00% |
As of the 7th of February, First Community shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 457.24, downside deviation of 1.76, and Mean Deviation of 1.53. First Community Banc technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Community Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Community's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.First Community Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 40.0 | Hold | 1 | Odds |
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Community Banc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could First diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Community. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every First Community data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.24 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
First Community Banc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Community's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since First Community's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Community 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Community's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Community.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Community on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Community Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Community over 90 days. First Community is related to or competes with SmartFinancial, South Plains, Southern California, Southern Missouri, Bridgewater Bancshares, Independent Bank, and Mid Penn. First Community Bankshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for First Community Bank that provides variou... More
First Community Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Community's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Community Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1743 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.02 |
First Community Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Community's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Community's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Community historical prices to predict the future First Community's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1822 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3541 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2002 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4428 |
First Community February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1822 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4528 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 457.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1743 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3541 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2002 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4428 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0517 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3982 |
First Community Banc Backtested Returns
First Community appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. First Community Banc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which denotes the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for First Community Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Community's Coefficient Of Variation of 457.24, downside deviation of 1.76, and Mean Deviation of 1.53 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Community holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.98, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. First Community returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Community is expected to follow. Please check First Community's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether First Community's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.72 |
Good predictability
First Community Bancshares has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Community time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Community Banc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current First Community price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 6.34 |
First Community technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Community Banc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Community Banc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Community Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Community Bancshares on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Community Bancshares based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Community Banc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Community Banc. By analyzing First Community's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Community's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Community specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0316 | 0.0288 | 0.0981 | 0.1 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.03 | 4.34 | 3.33 | 2.49 |
First Community February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1822 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4528 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 457.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.08 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1743 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3541 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2321 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2002 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4428 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) | |||
| Skewness | 0.0517 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.3982 |
First Community February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3,007 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.37 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 41.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 41.37 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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