Franco Nevada Stock Price Patterns

FNV Stock  CAD 348.10  7.74  2.27%   
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of Franco Nevada's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franco Nevada, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franco Nevada's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franco Nevada, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franco Nevada's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.886
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5101
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.3872
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.3172
Wall Street Target Price
369.424
Using Franco Nevada hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franco Nevada from the perspective of Franco Nevada response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franco Nevada to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franco Nevada after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 344.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Franco Nevada Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Franco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Franco Nevada guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
313.29386.98389.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
356.15358.77361.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.311.671.37
Details

Franco Nevada After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franco Nevada at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franco Nevada or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franco Nevada, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franco Nevada Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franco Nevada's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franco Nevada's historical news coverage. Franco Nevada's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 342.02 and 382.91, respectively. We have considered Franco Nevada's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
348.10
342.02
Downside
344.65
After-hype Price
382.91
Upside
Franco Nevada is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franco Nevada is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franco Nevada Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franco Nevada is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franco Nevada backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franco Nevada, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.63
  3.45 
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
348.10
344.65
0.99 
35.88  
Notes

Franco Nevada Hype Timeline

Franco Nevada is currently traded for 348.10on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.45, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Franco is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 344.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 35.88%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Franco Nevada is about 4781.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 348.13. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.5. Franco Nevada last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Franco Nevada Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Franco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Franco Nevada guide.

Franco Nevada Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franco Nevada's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franco Nevada's future price movements. Getting to know how Franco Nevada's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franco Nevada may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WPMWheaton Precious Metals(3.99)7 per month 3.18  0.15  4.14 (3.90) 16.86 
KKinross Gold Corp 0.19 10 per month 3.49  0.13  5.14 (5.01) 19.82 
LUGLundin Gold 2.73 8 per month 4.00 (0.01) 4.33 (5.00) 21.00 
ABXBarrick Gold Corp(0.05)7 per month 3.23  0.15  4.31 (3.12) 19.86 
EDVEndeavour Mining Corp 2.61 6 per month 3.06  0.17  5.00 (5.28) 14.81 
NTRNutrien 1.43 10 per month 1.64  0.11  3.33 (2.64) 12.57 
AGIAlamos Gold(2.32)9 per month 3.72  0.11  6.07 (6.20) 16.85 
ELEElemental Royalties Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.16  0.15  7.46 (6.72) 25.24 
OGNOrogen Royalties(0.05)2 per month 3.32  0.14  7.69 (5.51) 27.57 
TECK-BTeck Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 2.25  0.24  4.48 (4.00) 13.86 

Franco Nevada Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franco Nevada Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franco Nevada stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franco Nevada, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franco Nevada based on analysis of Franco Nevada hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franco Nevada's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franco Nevada's related companies.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0110.01070.0112
Price To Sales Ratio17.4520.3242.9

Pair Trading with Franco Nevada

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Franco Nevada position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Franco Nevada will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Franco Stock

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Moving against Franco Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Franco Nevada could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Franco Nevada when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Franco Nevada - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Franco Nevada to buy it.
The correlation of Franco Nevada is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Franco Nevada moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Franco Nevada moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Franco Nevada can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Franco Nevada is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franco Nevada's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franco Nevada's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franco Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Franco Nevada Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Franco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Franco Nevada guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franco Nevada's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franco Nevada is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Franco Nevada's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.