Griffon Stock Price Prediction
| GFF Stock | USD 75.72 2.77 3.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.653 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.84 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.59 | Wall Street Target Price 101 |
Using Griffon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Griffon from the perspective of Griffon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Griffon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Griffon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Griffon after-hype prediction price | USD 76.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Griffon |
Griffon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Griffon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Griffon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Griffon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Griffon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Griffon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Griffon's historical news coverage. Griffon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.85 and 79.71, respectively. We have considered Griffon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Griffon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Griffon is based on 3 months time horizon.
Griffon Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Griffon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Griffon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Griffon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.94 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
75.72 | 76.78 | 0.39 |
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Griffon Hype Timeline
On the 17th of December 2024 Griffon is traded for 75.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Griffon is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 76.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Griffon is about 356.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.55. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.62 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 209.9 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.03 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Griffon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Griffon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Griffon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Griffon's future price movements. Getting to know how Griffon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Griffon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | (0.88) | 9 per month | 2.41 | (0.01) | 4.41 | (3.70) | 21.61 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | (0.35) | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 3.19 | (2.52) | 9.17 | |
| TRC | Tejon Ranch Co | (0.68) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.94 | (3.12) | 14.35 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | (0.17) | 10 per month | 1.04 | 0.1 | 2.75 | (1.73) | 9.24 | |
| SPLP-PA | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.38 | (0.21) | 1.48 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.93 | (0.80) | 2.76 | |
| MATW | Matthews International | (0.98) | 10 per month | 1.72 | 0.09 | 4.21 | (3.12) | 24.83 | |
| VRTV | Veritiv Cor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.02 | 3.88 | (4.01) | 10.84 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.14 | 3.39 | (2.65) | 9.80 | |
| VMI | Valmont Industries | (5.55) | 11 per month | 0.85 | 0.11 | 2.65 | (1.79) | 12.58 |
Griffon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Griffon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Griffon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Griffon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Griffon Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Griffon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Griffon, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Griffon based on analysis of Griffon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Griffon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Griffon's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.083 | 0.0647 | 0.0108 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 1.33 |
Story Coverage note for Griffon
The number of cover stories for Griffon depends on current market conditions and Griffon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Griffon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Griffon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Griffon Short Properties
Griffon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Griffon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Griffon often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Griffon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Griffon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Griffon Stock analysis
When running Griffon's price analysis, check to measure Griffon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Griffon is operating at the current time. Most of Griffon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Griffon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Griffon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Griffon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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