Greenfire Resources Stock Technical Analysis

GFR Stock   5.78  0.04  0.70%   
As of the 15th of February 2026, Greenfire Resources retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1478, downside deviation of 3.04, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 32.33. Greenfire Resources technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Greenfire Resources variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Greenfire Resources is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 5.78 per share. Given that Greenfire Resources has jensen alpha of 0.5645, we strongly advise you to confirm Greenfire Resources's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Greenfire Resources Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Greenfire, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GreenfireGreenfire Resources' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Greenfire Resources Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
5.75Strong Buy2Odds
Greenfire Resources current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Greenfire analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Greenfire stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Greenfire Resources, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Greenfire conference calls.
Greenfire Analyst Advice Details
Can Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry sustain growth momentum? Does Greenfire have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greenfire Resources. Market participants price Greenfire higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Greenfire Resources demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.605
Earnings Share
1.24
Revenue Per Share
9.377
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
Return On Assets
0.0496
Investors evaluate Greenfire Resources using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Greenfire Resources' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Greenfire Resources' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greenfire Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greenfire Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Greenfire Resources' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Greenfire Resources 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Greenfire Resources' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Greenfire Resources.
0.00
11/17/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/15/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Greenfire Resources on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Greenfire Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Greenfire Resources over 90 days. Greenfire Resources is related to or competes with GeoPark, WT Offshore, Forum Energy, PrimeEnergy, Natural Gas, Ring Energy, and Geospace Technologies. Greenfire Resources is entity of United States More

Greenfire Resources Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Greenfire Resources' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Greenfire Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Greenfire Resources Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Greenfire Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Greenfire Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Greenfire Resources historical prices to predict the future Greenfire Resources' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.595.748.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.465.618.76
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.245.756.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greenfire Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greenfire Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greenfire Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greenfire Resources.

Greenfire Resources February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators

Greenfire Resources Backtested Returns

Greenfire Resources appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Greenfire Resources holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Greenfire Resources, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Greenfire Resources' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1478, market risk adjusted performance of 32.33, and Downside Deviation of 3.04 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Greenfire Resources holds a performance score of 8. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0175, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Greenfire Resources' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Greenfire Resources is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Greenfire Resources' value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Greenfire Resources' current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.63  

Very good reverse predictability

Greenfire Resources has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Greenfire Resources time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Greenfire Resources price movement. The serial correlation of -0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Greenfire Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.63
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2
Greenfire Resources technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Greenfire Resources technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Greenfire Resources trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Greenfire Resources Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Greenfire Resources across different markets.

About Greenfire Resources Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Greenfire Resources on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greenfire Resources based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Greenfire Resources price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Greenfire Resources. By analyzing Greenfire Resources's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Greenfire Resources's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Greenfire Resources specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.150.14
Price To Sales Ratio1.050.89

Greenfire Resources February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Greenfire help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greenfire from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Greenfire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Greenfire Resources February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Greenfire stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Greenfire Stock Analysis

When running Greenfire Resources' price analysis, check to measure Greenfire Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greenfire Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Greenfire Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greenfire Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greenfire Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greenfire Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.