Houlihan Lokey Stock Forward View
| HLI Stock | USD 168.36 0.04 0.02% |
Houlihan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Houlihan Lokey's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Houlihan Lokey's share price is approaching 38. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Houlihan Lokey, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.223 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0613 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8835 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.766 | Wall Street Target Price 206.625 |
Using Houlihan Lokey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Houlihan Lokey from the perspective of Houlihan Lokey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Houlihan Lokey using Houlihan Lokey's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Houlihan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Houlihan Lokey's stock price.
Houlihan Lokey Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Houlihan Lokey's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Houlihan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Houlihan Lokey stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 184.1976 | Short Percent 0.0193 | Short Ratio 2.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 178.9398 |
Houlihan Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Houlihan Lokey on the next trading day is expected to be 156.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.53.Houlihan Lokey Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Houlihan Lokey's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Houlihan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Houlihan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Houlihan Lokey. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Houlihan Lokey's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Houlihan Lokey.
Houlihan Lokey Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Houlihan Lokey's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Houlihan Lokey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Houlihan Lokey's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Houlihan Lokey stock will not fluctuate a lot when Houlihan Lokey's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Houlihan Lokey on the next trading day is expected to be 156.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.53. Houlihan Lokey after-hype prediction price | USD 168.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Houlihan Lokey to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Houlihan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Houlihan Lokey will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Houlihan Lokey trading at USD 168.36, that is roughly USD 0.0558 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Houlihan Lokey's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Houlihan Lokey options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Houlihan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Houlihan Lokey's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Houlihan Lokey's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Houlihan Lokey stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Houlihan Lokey's open interest, investors have to compare it to Houlihan Lokey's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Houlihan Lokey is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Houlihan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Houlihan Lokey Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Houlihan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Houlihan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Houlihan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Houlihan Lokey Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Houlihan Lokey's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-03-31 | Previous Quarter 923.6 M | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 301.6 M |
Houlihan Lokey Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Houlihan Lokey on the next trading day is expected to be 156.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.64, mean absolute percentage error of 10.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 163.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Houlihan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Houlihan Lokey's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Houlihan Lokey Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Houlihan Lokey | Houlihan Lokey Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Houlihan Lokey Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Houlihan Lokey's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Houlihan Lokey's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 155.45 and 158.51, respectively. We have considered Houlihan Lokey's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Houlihan Lokey stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Houlihan Lokey stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.2726 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6375 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 163.5274 |
Predictive Modules for Houlihan Lokey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Houlihan Lokey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Houlihan Lokey After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Houlihan Lokey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Houlihan Lokey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Houlihan Lokey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Houlihan Lokey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Houlihan Lokey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Houlihan Lokey's historical news coverage. Houlihan Lokey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 166.84 and 169.88, respectively. We have considered Houlihan Lokey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Houlihan Lokey is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Houlihan Lokey is based on 3 months time horizon.
Houlihan Lokey Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Houlihan Lokey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Houlihan Lokey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Houlihan Lokey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
168.36 | 168.36 | 0.00 |
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Houlihan Lokey Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Houlihan Lokey is traded for 168.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Houlihan is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Houlihan Lokey is about 877.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 168.34. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.51. Houlihan Lokey last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Houlihan Lokey to cross-verify your projections.Houlihan Lokey Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Houlihan Lokey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Houlihan Lokey's future price movements. Getting to know how Houlihan Lokey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Houlihan Lokey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SF | Stifel Financial | (2.51) | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 2.22 | (2.17) | 5.81 | |
| EVR | Evercore Partners | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.43 | 0.03 | 3.24 | (3.26) | 9.09 | |
| GLXY | Galaxy Digital Holdings | 0.57 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.25 | (8.26) | 23.29 | |
| JEF | Jefferies Financial Group | 0.40 | 5 per month | 2.21 | 0.05 | 2.85 | (4.66) | 11.46 | |
| ALLY | Ally Financial | (0.18) | 5 per month | 1.58 | 0 | 2.77 | (2.73) | 8.02 | |
| OXLC | Oxford Lane Capital | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.51 | (3.64) | 20.96 | |
| XP | Xp Inc | (0.24) | 9 per month | 2.86 | 0.06 | 4.64 | (4.83) | 15.10 | |
| FHN | First Horizon National | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.15 | 2.71 | (1.77) | 7.47 | |
| ACGL | Arch Capital Group | 0.54 | 12 per month | 0.76 | 0.15 | 1.82 | (1.25) | 4.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Houlihan Lokey
For every potential investor in Houlihan, whether a beginner or expert, Houlihan Lokey's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Houlihan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Houlihan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Houlihan Lokey's price trends.Houlihan Lokey Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Houlihan Lokey stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Houlihan Lokey could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Houlihan Lokey by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Houlihan Lokey Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Houlihan Lokey stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Houlihan Lokey shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Houlihan Lokey stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Houlihan Lokey entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Houlihan Lokey Risk Indicators
The analysis of Houlihan Lokey's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Houlihan Lokey's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting houlihan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Houlihan Lokey
The number of cover stories for Houlihan Lokey depends on current market conditions and Houlihan Lokey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Houlihan Lokey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Houlihan Lokey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Houlihan Lokey Short Properties
Houlihan Lokey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Houlihan Lokey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Houlihan Lokey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Houlihan Lokey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Houlihan Lokey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Houlihan Lokey to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Houlihan Stock please use our How to Invest in Houlihan Lokey guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is there potential for Investment Banking & Brokerage market expansion? Will Houlihan introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Houlihan Lokey. Market participants price Houlihan higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Houlihan Lokey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.223 | Dividend Share 2.37 | Earnings Share 6.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 |
The market value of Houlihan Lokey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Houlihan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Houlihan Lokey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Houlihan Lokey's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Houlihan Lokey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Houlihan Lokey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Houlihan Lokey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Houlihan Lokey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Houlihan Lokey's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.