National Bank Of Stock Price Patterns
| NA Stock | CAD 172.25 1.16 0.67% |
Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using National Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Bank of from the perspective of National Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
National Bank after-hype prediction price | CAD 172.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
National |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Bank's historical news coverage. National Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.34 and 173.04, respectively. We have considered National Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
National Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
172.25 | 172.19 | 0.03 |
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National Bank Hype Timeline
National Bank is now traded for 172.25on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. National is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 172.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on National Bank is about 2067.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 172.25. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of National Bank was now reported as 82.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. National Bank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 14th of February 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out National Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.National Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how National Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TD-PFJ | Toronto Dominion Bank Pref | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.09) | 0.74 | (0.77) | 1.97 | |
| GWO | Great West Lifeco | 0.37 | 9 per month | 0.97 | (0.06) | 1.24 | (1.50) | 5.03 | |
| SLF | Sun Life Financial | 0.23 | 8 per month | 0.81 | 0.05 | 1.51 | (1.59) | 4.38 | |
| MFC | Manulife Financial Corp | 0.22 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.07 | 1.62 | (1.61) | 5.56 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 0.42 | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.08 | 1.50 | (1.53) | 6.25 | |
| IFC | Intact Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.69 | (1.77) | 6.79 | |
| FFH | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | (0.02) | 2.18 | (2.58) | 9.94 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.1 | 1.23 | (1.38) | 4.75 | |
| POW | Power | (0.87) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.81 | (2.45) | 6.73 |
National Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About National Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of National Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Bank of, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Bank based on analysis of National Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Bank's related companies.
Pair Trading with National Bank
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if National Bank position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bank will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against National Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to National Bank could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace National Bank when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back National Bank - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling National Bank of to buy it.
The correlation of National Bank is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as National Bank moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if National Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for National Bank can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in National Stock
National Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether National Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in National with respect to the benefits of owning National Bank security.