Midwestone Financial Group Stock Price Prediction

MOFG Stock  USD 33.26  0.44  1.31%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of MidWestOne Financial's share price is above 70 as of 26th of November 2024. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling MidWestOne, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MidWestOne Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MidWestOne Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MidWestOne Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MidWestOne Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MidWestOne Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.083
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.71
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.316
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.154
Wall Street Target Price
33.5
Using MidWestOne Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MidWestOne Financial Group from the perspective of MidWestOne Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MidWestOne Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MidWestOne because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

MidWestOne Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out MidWestOne Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.9528.2536.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.7033.0035.29
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.5224.7527.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.720.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MidWestOne Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MidWestOne Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MidWestOne Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MidWestOne Financial.

MidWestOne Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MidWestOne Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MidWestOne Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MidWestOne Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MidWestOne Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MidWestOne Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MidWestOne Financial's historical news coverage. MidWestOne Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.72 and 35.32, respectively. We have considered MidWestOne Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.26
33.02
After-hype Price
35.32
Upside
MidWestOne Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MidWestOne Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

MidWestOne Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MidWestOne Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MidWestOne Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MidWestOne Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.30
  0.24 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
15 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.26
33.02
0.72 
273.81  
Notes

MidWestOne Financial Hype Timeline

MidWestOne Financial is now traded for 33.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MidWestOne is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on MidWestOne Financial is about 6522.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.27. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MidWestOne Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.69. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. MidWestOne Financial had 959692:319 split on the 21st of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out MidWestOne Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MidWestOne Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MidWestOne Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MidWestOne Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how MidWestOne Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MidWestOne Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 6 per month 2.43 (0.02) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.25  0.03  3.69 (2.95) 8.55 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)10 per month 1.07  0.05  2.64 (2.16) 9.14 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.70  0.01  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.76 (0.11) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.18)7 per month 1.72  0.04  3.56 (3.32) 19.09 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 7 per month 0.95  0.11  4.19 (2.20) 11.05 
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp(0.64)3 per month 1.45  0.1  5.14 (2.77) 11.90 
ESSAESSA Bancorp(0.35)9 per month 2.68  0.04  3.80 (5.19) 12.53 
FSBWFS Bancorp(0.39)6 per month 1.62  0.02  4.21 (2.96) 11.90 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 1.89 (0.01) 6.22 (3.53) 14.42 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.01)9 per month 0.87  0.20  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.59 8 per month 0.75  0.04  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.44)8 per month 1.59  0.08  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.11 4 per month 1.44  0.07  3.20 (2.21) 9.05 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp(0.40)6 per month 0.58  0.06  2.29 (1.09) 9.94 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.75  0.09  3.76 (3.12) 12.98 

MidWestOne Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MidWestOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MidWestOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze MidWestOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About MidWestOne Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of MidWestOne Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MidWestOne Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MidWestOne Financial based on analysis of MidWestOne Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MidWestOne Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MidWestOne Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02780.02990.0341
Price To Sales Ratio2.592.323.0

Story Coverage note for MidWestOne Financial

The number of cover stories for MidWestOne Financial depends on current market conditions and MidWestOne Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MidWestOne Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MidWestOne Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MidWestOne Financial Short Properties

MidWestOne Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MidWestOne Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MidWestOne Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MidWestOne Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MidWestOne Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments81.7 M

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