MidWestOne Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MOFG Stock | USD 39.16 1.11 2.76% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MidWestOne Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 38.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.15. MidWestOne Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MidWestOne Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of MidWestOne Financial's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.864 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6525 | Wall Street Target Price 36.75 |
Using MidWestOne Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MidWestOne Financial Group from the perspective of MidWestOne Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MidWestOne Financial using MidWestOne Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MidWestOne using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MidWestOne Financial's stock price.
MidWestOne Financial Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
MidWestOne Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MidWestOne Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MidWestOne Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MidWestOne Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MidWestOne Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MidWestOne Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 38.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.15. MidWestOne Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 38.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MidWestOne Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MidWestOne Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MidWestOne Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MidWestOne Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MidWestOne Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to MidWestOne Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MidWestOne Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MidWestOne. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MidWestOne Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MidWestOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MidWestOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze MidWestOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MidWestOne Financial Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the MidWestOne Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-09-30 | Previous Quarter 169.4 M | Current Value 272.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 50.7 M |
MidWestOne Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MidWestOne Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 38.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MidWestOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MidWestOne Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MidWestOne Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MidWestOne Financial | MidWestOne Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MidWestOne Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MidWestOne Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MidWestOne Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.63 and 44.26, respectively. We have considered MidWestOne Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MidWestOne Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MidWestOne Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.9686 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1798 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0339 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73.1489 |
Predictive Modules for MidWestOne Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MidWestOne Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for MidWestOne Financial
For every potential investor in MidWestOne, whether a beginner or expert, MidWestOne Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MidWestOne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MidWestOne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MidWestOne Financial's price trends.MidWestOne Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MidWestOne Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MidWestOne Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MidWestOne Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MidWestOne Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MidWestOne Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MidWestOne Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MidWestOne Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MidWestOne Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MidWestOne Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MidWestOne Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MidWestOne Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7351.92 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.11) |
MidWestOne Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of MidWestOne Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MidWestOne Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting midwestone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.18 | |||
| Variance | 26.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether MidWestOne Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze MidWestOne Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MidWestOne Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MidWestOne Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MidWestOne Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MidWestOne Financial. If investors know MidWestOne will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MidWestOne Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 0.97 | Earnings Share 3.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of MidWestOne Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MidWestOne that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MidWestOne Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MidWestOne Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MidWestOne Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MidWestOne Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MidWestOne Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MidWestOne Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MidWestOne Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.