MidWestOne Financial Stock Forward View
| MOFG Stock | USD 46.32 0.11 0.24% |
MidWestOne Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MidWestOne Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of MidWestOne Financial's stock price is roughly 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 1st of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MidWestOne, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.864 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.815 | Wall Street Target Price 37.3333 |
Using MidWestOne Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MidWestOne Financial Group from the perspective of MidWestOne Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MidWestOne Financial using MidWestOne Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MidWestOne using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MidWestOne Financial's stock price.
MidWestOne Financial Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
MidWestOne Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MidWestOne Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MidWestOne Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MidWestOne Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MidWestOne Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MidWestOne Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 47.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27. MidWestOne Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 46.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MidWestOne contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MidWestOne Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MidWestOne Financial trading at USD 46.32, that is roughly USD 0.0243 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MidWestOne Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MidWestOne Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MidWestOne Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MidWestOne Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MidWestOne Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MidWestOne Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MidWestOne Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to MidWestOne Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MidWestOne Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MidWestOne. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MidWestOne Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MidWestOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MidWestOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze MidWestOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MidWestOne Financial Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the MidWestOne Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-09-30 | Previous Quarter 169.4 M | Current Value 272.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 50.7 M |
MidWestOne Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MidWestOne Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 47.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MidWestOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MidWestOne Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MidWestOne Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MidWestOne Financial | MidWestOne Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
MidWestOne Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MidWestOne Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MidWestOne Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.03 and 49.15, respectively. We have considered MidWestOne Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MidWestOne Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MidWestOne Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0142 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7584 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.2652 |
Predictive Modules for MidWestOne Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MidWestOne Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MidWestOne Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MidWestOne Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MidWestOne Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MidWestOne Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MidWestOne Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MidWestOne Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MidWestOne Financial's historical news coverage. MidWestOne Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.26 and 48.38, respectively. We have considered MidWestOne Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MidWestOne Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MidWestOne Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
MidWestOne Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MidWestOne Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MidWestOne Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MidWestOne Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.06 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.32 | 46.32 | 0.00 |
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MidWestOne Financial Hype Timeline
MidWestOne Financial is now traded for 46.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. MidWestOne is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on MidWestOne Financial is about 1943.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.36. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.58. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MidWestOne Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. The firm had 959692:319897 split on the 21st of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MidWestOne Financial to cross-verify your projections.MidWestOne Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MidWestOne Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MidWestOne Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how MidWestOne Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MidWestOne Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial | (0.11) | 3 per month | 1.68 | 0.07 | 2.86 | (2.19) | 9.76 | |
| CFFN | Capitol Federal Financial | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 2.82 | (2.44) | 8.42 | |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial | (0.13) | 9 per month | 2.40 | (0.02) | 3.12 | (1.93) | 18.16 | |
| HBT | Hbt Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 3.07 | (2.90) | 8.89 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.08 | 4.71 | (3.36) | 12.71 | |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Bank | 1.81 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.23 | 3.75 | (2.09) | 8.00 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.12 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 8.85 | |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | (0.11) | 3 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 3.59 | (2.50) | 10.05 | |
| CCNE | CNB Financial | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.97 | 0.12 | 3.12 | (1.55) | 8.97 | |
| SBSI | Southside Bancshares | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.92 | 0.14 | 2.73 | (1.57) | 8.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for MidWestOne Financial
For every potential investor in MidWestOne, whether a beginner or expert, MidWestOne Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MidWestOne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MidWestOne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MidWestOne Financial's price trends.MidWestOne Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MidWestOne Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MidWestOne Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MidWestOne Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MidWestOne Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MidWestOne Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MidWestOne Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MidWestOne Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MidWestOne Financial Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MidWestOne Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of MidWestOne Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MidWestOne Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting midwestone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.13 | |||
| Variance | 4.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MidWestOne Financial
The number of cover stories for MidWestOne Financial depends on current market conditions and MidWestOne Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MidWestOne Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MidWestOne Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MidWestOne Financial Short Properties
MidWestOne Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MidWestOne Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MidWestOne Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MidWestOne Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MidWestOne Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MidWestOne Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Can Regional Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does MidWestOne have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MidWestOne Financial. Expected growth trajectory for MidWestOne significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating MidWestOne Financial demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 0.97 | Earnings Share 3.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Investors evaluate MidWestOne Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MidWestOne Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MidWestOne Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MidWestOne Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MidWestOne Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MidWestOne Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.