Nasdaq Inc Stock Price Prediction
| NDAQ Stock | USD 81.65 1.34 1.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.74 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7965 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1375 | Wall Street Target Price 81.9444 |
Using Nasdaq hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nasdaq Inc from the perspective of Nasdaq response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nasdaq using Nasdaq's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nasdaq using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nasdaq's stock price.
Nasdaq Short Interest
An investor who is long Nasdaq may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nasdaq and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nasdaq with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.1301 | Short Percent 0.0122 | Short Ratio 1.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 75.8436 |
Nasdaq Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nasdaq's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nasdaq. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nasdaq can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nasdaq Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nasdaq's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nasdaq.
Nasdaq Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Nasdaq's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nasdaq Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nasdaq's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nasdaq stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nasdaq's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nasdaq to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nasdaq because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nasdaq after-hype prediction price | USD 81.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nasdaq contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nasdaq Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Nasdaq trading at USD 81.65, that is roughly USD 0.0347 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nasdaq's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nasdaq Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nasdaq |
Nasdaq After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nasdaq at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nasdaq or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nasdaq, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nasdaq Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nasdaq's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nasdaq's historical news coverage. Nasdaq's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.67 and 82.63, respectively. We have considered Nasdaq's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nasdaq is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nasdaq Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nasdaq Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nasdaq is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nasdaq backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nasdaq, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 0.97 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
81.65 | 81.65 | 0.00 |
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Nasdaq Hype Timeline
Nasdaq Inc is now traded for 81.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. Nasdaq is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 40.08%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nasdaq is about 48.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.99. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Nasdaq was now reported as 19.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Nasdaq Inc had 3:1 split on the 29th of August 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Nasdaq Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nasdaq Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nasdaq's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nasdaq's future price movements. Getting to know how Nasdaq's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nasdaq may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CME | CME Group | (0.61) | 7 per month | 0.66 | 0.04 | 1.58 | (1.44) | 4.17 | |
| SPGI | SP Global | 3.74 | 8 per month | 1.00 | (0.07) | 1.45 | (1.44) | 5.82 | |
| MCO | Moodys | 4.26 | 5 per month | 1.13 | (0.06) | 1.65 | (1.74) | 6.89 | |
| MSCI | MSCI Inc | 7.28 | 12 per month | 1.13 | (0.04) | 1.97 | (1.89) | 5.72 | |
| ICE | Intercontinental Exchange | (2.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.45 | (1.46) | 8.00 | |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems | (0.48) | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.11 | 2.24 | (1.45) | 7.46 |
Nasdaq Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nasdaq price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nasdaq using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nasdaq charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nasdaq Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nasdaq stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nasdaq Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nasdaq based on analysis of Nasdaq hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nasdaq's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nasdaq's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.01 | 0.0127 | 0.0149 | 0.0119 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.92 | 4.85 | 4.88 | 5.13 |
Story Coverage note for Nasdaq
The number of cover stories for Nasdaq depends on current market conditions and Nasdaq's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nasdaq is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nasdaq's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nasdaq Short Properties
Nasdaq's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nasdaq's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nasdaq Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nasdaq's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nasdaq's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 508.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 473 M |
Additional Tools for Nasdaq Stock Analysis
When running Nasdaq's price analysis, check to measure Nasdaq's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nasdaq is operating at the current time. Most of Nasdaq's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nasdaq's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nasdaq's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nasdaq to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.