National Graphite Corp Stock Price Prediction

NGRC Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  15.79%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of National Graphite's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling National Graphite, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Graphite's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Graphite Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using National Graphite hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Graphite Corp from the perspective of National Graphite response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Graphite to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

National Graphite after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out National Graphite Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.046.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.056.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

National Graphite After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of National Graphite at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Graphite or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of National Graphite, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

National Graphite Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting National Graphite's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Graphite's historical news coverage. National Graphite's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.54, respectively. We have considered National Graphite's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.04
After-hype Price
6.54
Upside
National Graphite is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Graphite Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

National Graphite Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Graphite is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Graphite backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Graphite, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
6.50
 0.00  
  0.16 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.04
9.09 
0.00  
Notes

National Graphite Hype Timeline

National Graphite Corp is now traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.16. National is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on National Graphite is about 1120.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.12. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. National Graphite Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:30 split on the 15th of August 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out National Graphite Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National Graphite Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to National Graphite's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Graphite's future price movements. Getting to know how National Graphite's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Graphite may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

National Graphite Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About National Graphite Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of National Graphite stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Graphite Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Graphite based on analysis of National Graphite hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Graphite's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Graphite's related companies.

Story Coverage note for National Graphite

The number of cover stories for National Graphite depends on current market conditions and National Graphite's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Graphite is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Graphite's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for National Pink Sheet analysis

When running National Graphite's price analysis, check to measure National Graphite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Graphite is operating at the current time. Most of National Graphite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Graphite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Graphite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Graphite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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