Nerdwallet Stock Performance

NRDS Stock  USD 10.31  0.05  0.49%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.27, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nerdwallet will likely underperform. At this point, Nerdwallet has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to verify Nerdwallet's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Nerdwallet performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Nerdwallet has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.66)
Five Day Return
(9.12)
Year To Date Return
(20.65)
Ten Year Return
(63.75)
All Time Return
(63.75)
1
NerdWallet Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings
11/19/2025
2
Disposition of 596 shares by Nicholas Tatum of Nerdwallet at 15.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/03/2025
3
Is FUTUs Global Diversification Strategy Yielding Benefits
12/04/2025
4
Walleye Capital LLC Makes New Investment in NerdWallet, Inc. NRDS
12/11/2025
5
NerdWallet Announces 50 Million Increase in Share Repurchase Program
12/16/2025
6
NerdWallet Shows Rising Price Performance With Jump To 91 RS Rating - Investors Business Daily
12/18/2025
7
Bull of the Day NerdWallet
12/30/2025
8
NerdWallet vs. LendingTree Which Digital Finance Platform to Bet On
01/08/2026
9
How to Buy Meta Stock - NerdWallet
01/12/2026
10
3 Value Stocks Worth Investigating
01/20/2026
11
NRDS Shares Rise 12.6 percent in 6 Months Should You Hold or Fold Now
01/28/2026
12
What Analysts Think Gives NerdWallet The Edge As Its Story Evolves - Yahoo Finance
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow100.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-29.7 M

Nerdwallet Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,458  in Nerdwallet on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (427.00) from holding Nerdwallet or give up 29.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Nerdwallet is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7286% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of stocks are less volatile than Nerdwallet, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nerdwallet is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Nerdwallet Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nerdwallet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.31 90 days 10.31 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nerdwallet to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nerdwallet probability density function shows the probability of Nerdwallet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nerdwallet will likely underperform. Additionally Nerdwallet has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nerdwallet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nerdwallet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nerdwallet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nerdwallet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.5510.3013.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5412.2915.04
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.7116.1717.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.370.37
Details

Nerdwallet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nerdwallet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nerdwallet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nerdwallet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nerdwallet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Nerdwallet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nerdwallet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nerdwallet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nerdwallet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nerdwallet is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Nerdwallet has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Analysts Think Gives NerdWallet The Edge As Its Story Evolves - Yahoo Finance

Nerdwallet Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nerdwallet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nerdwallet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nerdwallet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.5 M

Nerdwallet Fundamentals Growth

Nerdwallet Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nerdwallet, and Nerdwallet fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nerdwallet Stock performance.

About Nerdwallet Performance

Assessing Nerdwallet's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Nerdwallet's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Nerdwallet is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.12  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.09 

Things to note about Nerdwallet performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nerdwallet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nerdwallet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nerdwallet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nerdwallet is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Nerdwallet has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Analysts Think Gives NerdWallet The Edge As Its Story Evolves - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating Nerdwallet's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nerdwallet's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nerdwallet's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nerdwallet's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nerdwallet's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nerdwallet's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nerdwallet's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nerdwallet's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nerdwallet's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nerdwallet's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nerdwallet's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Nerdwallet Stock Analysis

When running Nerdwallet's price analysis, check to measure Nerdwallet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nerdwallet is operating at the current time. Most of Nerdwallet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nerdwallet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nerdwallet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nerdwallet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.