Inogen Inc Stock Price Patterns

INGN Stock  USD 5.84  0.11  1.85%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Inogen's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Inogen, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Inogen's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inogen Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Inogen's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.873
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.23)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.33)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.16)
Wall Street Target Price
13
Using Inogen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inogen Inc from the perspective of Inogen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inogen using Inogen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inogen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inogen's stock price.

Inogen Short Interest

An investor who is long Inogen may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Inogen and may potentially protect profits, hedge Inogen with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.1516
Short Percent
0.0287
Short Ratio
4.06
Shares Short Prior Month
715.4 K
50 Day MA
6.6264

Inogen Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Inogen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Inogen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inogen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inogen Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Inogen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Inogen.

Inogen Implied Volatility

    
  1.41  
Inogen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inogen Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inogen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inogen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inogen's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inogen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inogen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Inogen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.127.7210.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.255.858.46
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.8313.0014.43
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.25-0.23-0.2
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inogen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inogen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inogen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inogen Inc.

Inogen After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Inogen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inogen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inogen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Inogen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Inogen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inogen's historical news coverage. Inogen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.16 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered Inogen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.84
5.76
After-hype Price
8.36
Upside
Inogen is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inogen Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Inogen Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inogen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inogen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inogen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.60
  0.08 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.84
5.76
1.37 
838.71  
Notes

Inogen Hype Timeline

Inogen Inc is currently traded for 5.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Inogen is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Inogen is about 3095.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.82. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Inogen Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.98. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Inogen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Inogen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inogen's future price movements. Getting to know how Inogen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inogen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NNOXNano X Imaging 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 9.44 (6.31) 36.87 
SNWVSANUWAVE Health Common 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.94 (5.25) 26.31 
OMOutset Medical(0.89)10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 9.51 (10.93) 52.35 
HSDTHelius Medical Technologies(0.38)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 11.43 (11.17) 27.63 
SIShoulder Innovations(0.18)9 per month 2.82  0.05  6.14 (5.61) 39.05 
QTRXQuanterix Corp(0.01)8 per month 3.25  0.08  8.16 (5.23) 34.06 
CATXPerspective Therapeutics 0.04 11 per month 5.01  0.13  8.14 (8.80) 77.44 
EPRXEupraxia Pharmaceuticals Common 0.34 6 per month 2.89  0.17  9.93 (4.78) 24.61 
SGHTSight Sciences 0.17 10 per month 3.50  0.09  9.34 (6.23) 25.08 
HCATHealth Catalyst(0.13)12 per month 0.00 (0.15) 6.36 (5.22) 21.81 

Inogen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Inogen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inogen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inogen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Inogen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Inogen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inogen Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inogen based on analysis of Inogen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inogen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inogen's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding49.6232.7337.6452.25
PTB Ratio0.621.251.431.36

Pair Trading with Inogen

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Inogen position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inogen will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Inogen Stock

  0.66OTC Ocumetics Technology CorpPairCorr
  0.68AHC Austco HealthcarePairCorr

Moving against Inogen Stock

  0.62VMD Viemed HealthcarePairCorr
  0.59QIPT Quipt Home Medical Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.534DX 4DMEDICALPairCorr
  0.47TRLS Trellus Health plcPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Inogen could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Inogen when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Inogen - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Inogen Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Inogen is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Inogen moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Inogen Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Inogen can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Inogen Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Inogen's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Inogen Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Inogen Inc Stock:
Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Inogen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inogen. Market participants price Inogen higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Inogen data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.873
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
13.467
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Investors evaluate Inogen Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Inogen's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Inogen's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Inogen's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.