Pacs Group Stock Price Prediction
| PACS Stock | 38.39 0.88 2.24% |
Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 1.44 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9 | Wall Street Target Price 34.6667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.291 |
Using PACS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PACS Group from the perspective of PACS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PACS using PACS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PACS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PACS's stock price.
PACS Short Interest
An investor who is long PACS may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PACS and may potentially protect profits, hedge PACS with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.6944 | Short Ratio 3.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 12.3094 | Shares Short 3.1 M |
PACS Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PACS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PACS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PACS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PACS Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PACS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PACS.
PACS Implied Volatility | 1.72 |
PACS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PACS Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PACS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PACS stock will not fluctuate a lot when PACS's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PACS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PACS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PACS after-hype prediction price | USD 38.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PACS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PACS Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With PACS trading at USD 38.39, that is roughly USD 0.0413 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PACS's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PACS Group options at the current volatility level of 1.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out PACS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PACS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PACS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PACS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PACS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PACS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PACS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PACS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PACS's historical news coverage. PACS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.52 and 48.26, respectively. We have considered PACS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PACS is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PACS Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
PACS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PACS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PACS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PACS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.04 | 9.95 | 0.22 | 1.44 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.39 | 38.39 | 0.00 |
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PACS Hype Timeline
PACS Group is at this time traded for 38.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.44. PACS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on PACS is about 1405.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.83. About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.23. PACS Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out PACS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PACS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PACS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PACS's future price movements. Getting to know how PACS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PACS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSDL | Morgan Stanley Direct | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.89 | 0.02 | 1.64 | (1.49) | 7.08 | |
| STC | Stewart Information Services | 0.93 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.21 | (3.25) | 9.24 | |
| SKWD | Skyward Specialty Insurance | (1.64) | 10 per month | 2.46 | 0.04 | 3.99 | (2.98) | 13.05 | |
| WT | WisdomTree | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.38 | (2.37) | 5.78 | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (2.84) | 7.58 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (0.36) | 11 per month | 1.23 | 0 | 2.23 | (2.16) | 6.47 | |
| PWP | Perella Weinberg Partners | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.69 | (4.42) | 12.28 | |
| LC | LendingClub Corp | (0.57) | 8 per month | 2.99 | 0.07 | 6.30 | (5.87) | 16.56 | |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares | 2.56 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.79 | (3.26) | 10.97 | |
| AGM | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 6.02 | 6 per month | 1.59 | 0.02 | 2.36 | (2.85) | 9.39 |
PACS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PACS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PACS using various technical indicators. When you analyze PACS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PACS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PACS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PACS Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PACS based on analysis of PACS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PACS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PACS's related companies. | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0233 | 0.0158 | 0.0148 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.11 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
Story Coverage note for PACS
The number of cover stories for PACS depends on current market conditions and PACS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PACS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PACS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PACS Short Properties
PACS's future price predictability will typically decrease when PACS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PACS Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PACS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PACS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 157.7 M |
Additional Tools for PACS Stock Analysis
When running PACS's price analysis, check to measure PACS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACS is operating at the current time. Most of PACS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.