Nicolet Bankshares Stock Price Prediction

NIC Stock  USD 111.40  1.94  1.71%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nicolet Bankshares' the stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nicolet, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nicolet Bankshares' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nicolet Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nicolet Bankshares' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.842
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.87
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.62
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.8475
Wall Street Target Price
116.8
Using Nicolet Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nicolet Bankshares from the perspective of Nicolet Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nicolet Bankshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nicolet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nicolet Bankshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 110.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nicolet Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Nicolet Stock refer to our How to Trade Nicolet Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.0692.38122.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
110.16112.48114.80
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
76.9084.5093.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.891.941.93
Details

Nicolet Bankshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nicolet Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nicolet Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nicolet Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nicolet Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nicolet Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nicolet Bankshares' historical news coverage. Nicolet Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.59 and 113.23, respectively. We have considered Nicolet Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
111.40
108.59
Downside
110.91
After-hype Price
113.23
Upside
Nicolet Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nicolet Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nicolet Bankshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nicolet Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nicolet Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nicolet Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
2.32
  0.49 
  0.05 
10 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
111.40
110.91
0.44 
108.41  
Notes

Nicolet Bankshares Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Nicolet Bankshares is traded for 111.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Nicolet is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 110.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 108.41%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Nicolet Bankshares is about 1068.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 111.45. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nicolet Bankshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.47. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.86. The firm last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Nicolet Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Nicolet Stock refer to our How to Trade Nicolet Stock guide.

Nicolet Bankshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nicolet Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nicolet Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Nicolet Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nicolet Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OSBCOld Second Bancorp 0.08 6 per month 1.89  0.02  2.65 (3.15) 13.47 
FDBCFidelity DD Bancorp 1.68 7 per month 2.22  0  5.04 (3.75) 12.69 
BANFBancFirst 0.92 10 per month 1.45  0.06  3.37 (2.90) 20.44 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.11)7 per month 0.45 (0.20) 0.79 (0.65) 4.44 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.75  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.05)9 per month 1.85  0.01  3.41 (3.32) 19.09 
FMBHFirst Mid Illinois 0.04 8 per month 1.56 (0.01) 2.87 (2.64) 18.64 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services(0.12)10 per month 1.06  0.03  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
BWFGBankwell Financial Group(0.25)7 per month 1.99  0.05  3.48 (2.51) 17.30 
FBMSThe First Bancshares,(1.29)9 per month 1.56  0.02  3.88 (3.51) 16.66 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.36 (1.13) 4.32 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.15)7 per month 1.82  0.03  4.14 (2.85) 20.29 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.74  0.05  3.67 (3.12) 10.19 
FBPFirst Bancorp 1.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.82 (3.53) 19.73 
NBHCNational Bank Holdings 0.86 9 per month 1.61  0.02  2.63 (2.65) 17.62 

Nicolet Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nicolet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nicolet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nicolet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nicolet Bankshares Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nicolet Bankshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nicolet Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nicolet Bankshares based on analysis of Nicolet Bankshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nicolet Bankshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nicolet Bankshares's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01080.008308
Price To Sales Ratio4.352.53

Story Coverage note for Nicolet Bankshares

The number of cover stories for Nicolet Bankshares depends on current market conditions and Nicolet Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nicolet Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nicolet Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nicolet Bankshares Short Properties

Nicolet Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nicolet Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nicolet Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nicolet Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nicolet Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

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When running Nicolet Bankshares' price analysis, check to measure Nicolet Bankshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nicolet Bankshares is operating at the current time. Most of Nicolet Bankshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nicolet Bankshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nicolet Bankshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nicolet Bankshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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