QCR Holdings Stock Forward View
| QCRH Stock | USD 93.98 1.44 1.56% |
QCR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of QCR Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of QCR Holdings' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.198 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.89 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.085 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.63 | Wall Street Target Price 102.25 |
Using QCR Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QCR Holdings from the perspective of QCR Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards QCR Holdings using QCR Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards QCR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of QCR Holdings' stock price.
QCR Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in QCR Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards QCR. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of QCR Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 75.703 | Short Percent 0.0154 | Short Ratio 2.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 271.8 K | 50 Day MA 85.6794 |
QCR Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QCR Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 92.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.94.QCR Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to QCR Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in QCR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding QCR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around QCR Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of QCR Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about QCR Holdings.
QCR Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
QCR Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of QCR Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if QCR Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that QCR Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when QCR Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QCR Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 92.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.94. QCR Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 92.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QCR Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current QCR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that QCR Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With QCR Holdings trading at USD 93.98, that is roughly USD 0.0294 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating QCR Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring QCR Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 QCR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast QCR Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in QCR Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for QCR Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current QCR Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to QCR Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of QCR Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in QCR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
QCR Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine QCR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QCR using various technical indicators. When you analyze QCR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
QCR Holdings Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the QCR Holdings' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1995-09-30 | Previous Quarter 215.4 M | Current Value 76.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 80.2 M |
QCR Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of QCR Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 92.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QCR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QCR Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
QCR Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest QCR Holdings | QCR Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
QCR Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting QCR Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QCR Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.71 and 93.73, respectively. We have considered QCR Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QCR Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QCR Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3823 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8679 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.9397 |
Predictive Modules for QCR Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QCR Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.QCR Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of QCR Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in QCR Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of QCR Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
QCR Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting QCR Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on QCR Holdings' historical news coverage. QCR Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.56 and 93.58, respectively. We have considered QCR Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
QCR Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of QCR Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
QCR Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as QCR Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading QCR Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with QCR Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.51 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
93.98 | 92.07 | 0.14 |
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QCR Holdings Hype Timeline
QCR Holdings is at this time traded for 93.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. QCR is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 92.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on QCR Holdings is about 1041.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.03. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 596.75 M. Net Income was 113.85 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 351.46 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QCR Holdings to cross-verify your projections.QCR Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to QCR Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict QCR Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how QCR Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how QCR Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.08 | 3.24 | (2.10) | 9.56 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.17 | 2.72 | (1.88) | 7.39 | |
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | 2.18 | 6 per month | 1.07 | 0.06 | 2.95 | (1.77) | 7.61 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | 0.20 | 6 per month | 2.28 | (0.03) | 2.53 | (2.09) | 12.44 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.10 | 0.11 | 3.61 | (2.13) | 10.00 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.12 | 3.49 | (2.36) | 10.98 | |
| CFR | CullenFrost Bankers | (1.16) | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.13 | 3.15 | (1.28) | 7.64 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 3.40 | (2.14) | 7.45 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.96 | 0.16 | 2.92 | (1.84) | 7.90 | |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.05 | 3.59 | (2.21) | 11.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for QCR Holdings
For every potential investor in QCR, whether a beginner or expert, QCR Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QCR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QCR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QCR Holdings' price trends.QCR Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QCR Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QCR Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QCR Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
QCR Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QCR Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QCR Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QCR Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QCR Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
QCR Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of QCR Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QCR Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qcr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9103 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8286 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for QCR Holdings
The number of cover stories for QCR Holdings depends on current market conditions and QCR Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that QCR Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about QCR Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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QCR Holdings Short Properties
QCR Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when QCR Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of QCR Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential QCR Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QCR Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QCR Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in QCR Stock please use our How to Invest in QCR Holdings guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will QCR introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QCR Holdings. Anticipated expansion of QCR directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about QCR Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.198 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 7.5 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.171 |
Understanding QCR Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects QCR's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what QCR Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push QCR Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between QCR Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding QCR Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, QCR Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.