Chesapeake Utilities Stock Price Prediction
| CPK Stock | USD 132.32 1.93 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.472 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.4053 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.2558 | Wall Street Target Price 135.625 |
Using Chesapeake Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chesapeake Utilities from the perspective of Chesapeake Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chesapeake Utilities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chesapeake because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chesapeake Utilities after-hype prediction price | USD 132.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chesapeake |
Chesapeake Utilities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chesapeake Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chesapeake Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chesapeake Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chesapeake Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chesapeake Utilities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chesapeake Utilities' historical news coverage. Chesapeake Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.26 and 133.78, respectively. We have considered Chesapeake Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chesapeake Utilities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chesapeake Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chesapeake Utilities Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chesapeake Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chesapeake Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chesapeake Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.26 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
132.32 | 132.52 | 0.15 |
|
Chesapeake Utilities Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Chesapeake Utilities is traded for 132.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Chesapeake is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 132.52 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 117.76%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Chesapeake Utilities is about 685.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 132.28. The company reported the last year's revenue of 670.6 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 87.21 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 240.4 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Chesapeake Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chesapeake Utilities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chesapeake Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chesapeake Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Chesapeake Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chesapeake Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.04 | 2.15 | (1.64) | 6.23 | |
| OGS | One Gas | 0.48 | 9 per month | 0.73 | 0.09 | 1.92 | (1.66) | 7.47 | |
| NIMC | NiSource Unit | 0.44 | 3 per month | 0.78 | (0.16) | 1.07 | (1.11) | 5.53 | |
| UGIC | UGI Corp Unit | (0.86) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.61 | (3.02) | 12.21 | |
| NJR | NewJersey Resources | 0.78 | 11 per month | 0.56 | 0.06 | 2.21 | (1.26) | 4.00 | |
| SR | Spire Inc | (1.04) | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.05 | 2.58 | (1.85) | 6.47 | |
| NI | NiSource | (0.78) | 9 per month | 0.54 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (1.23) | 3.98 | |
| OPAL | OPAL Fuels | (0.15) | 9 per month | 2.27 | (0.05) | 4.51 | (3.50) | 13.01 |
Chesapeake Utilities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chesapeake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chesapeake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chesapeake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chesapeake Utilities Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chesapeake Utilities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chesapeake Utilities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Utilities based on analysis of Chesapeake Utilities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chesapeake Utilities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chesapeake Utilities's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0123 | 0.0206 | 0.0348 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.49 | 2.89 | 3.04 |
Story Coverage note for Chesapeake Utilities
The number of cover stories for Chesapeake Utilities depends on current market conditions and Chesapeake Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chesapeake Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chesapeake Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Chesapeake Utilities Short Properties
Chesapeake Utilities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Chesapeake Utilities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chesapeake Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chesapeake Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chesapeake Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 M |
Check out Chesapeake Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Chesapeake Stock please use our How to buy in Chesapeake Stock guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chesapeake Utilities. If investors know Chesapeake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chesapeake Utilities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.472 | Dividend Share 2.46 | Earnings Share 4.92 | Revenue Per Share 34.76 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.217 |
The market value of Chesapeake Utilities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chesapeake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chesapeake Utilities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chesapeake Utilities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chesapeake Utilities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chesapeake Utilities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chesapeake Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chesapeake Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chesapeake Utilities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.