Toronto Dominion Bank Stock Price Patterns
| TD Stock | CAD 130.17 0.20 0.15% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.0702 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.1051 | Wall Street Target Price 128.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.0144 |
Using Toronto Dominion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Toronto Dominion Bank from the perspective of Toronto Dominion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Toronto Dominion to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Toronto because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Toronto Dominion after-hype prediction price | CAD 130.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Toronto |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toronto Dominion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Toronto Dominion After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Toronto Dominion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Toronto Dominion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Toronto Dominion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Toronto Dominion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Toronto Dominion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Toronto Dominion's historical news coverage. Toronto Dominion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 129.45 and 131.13, respectively. We have considered Toronto Dominion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Toronto Dominion is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Toronto Dominion Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Toronto Dominion Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Toronto Dominion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toronto Dominion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Toronto Dominion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 0.85 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
130.17 | 130.29 | 0.09 |
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Toronto Dominion Hype Timeline
Toronto Dominion Bank is at this time traded for 130.17on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Toronto is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 130.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 163.46%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Toronto Dominion is about 2125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.16. The company reported the revenue of 115.84 B. Net Income was 20.54 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63.27 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Toronto Dominion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Toronto Dominion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Toronto Dominion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Toronto Dominion's future price movements. Getting to know how Toronto Dominion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Toronto Dominion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | (2.38) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.10 | 1.88 | (1.56) | 4.05 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.18 | 1.25 | (1.20) | 4.75 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.79 | 0.11 | 1.48 | (1.53) | 6.25 | |
| TD-PFJ | Toronto Dominion Bank Pref | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0 | 0.74 | (0.77) | 2.21 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | 0.81 | 9 per month | 0.38 | 0.17 | 1.58 | (1.18) | 3.90 | |
| NA | National Bank of | 0.76 | 9 per month | 0.65 | 0.07 | 1.47 | (1.19) | 4.32 | |
| BAM | Brookfield Asset Management | 0.63 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.28 | (3.76) | 9.70 |
Toronto Dominion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Toronto price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toronto using various technical indicators. When you analyze Toronto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Toronto Dominion Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Toronto Dominion stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Toronto Dominion Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toronto Dominion based on analysis of Toronto Dominion hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Toronto Dominion's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Toronto Dominion's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0532 | 0.0385 | 0.0266 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.13 | 1.72 | 1.58 |
Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Toronto Dominion will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Toronto Stock
Moving against Toronto Stock
| 0.78 | GFL | Gfl Environmental Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | PNC-B | Postmedia Network Canada | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Toronto Dominion could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Toronto Dominion when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Toronto Dominion - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Toronto Dominion Bank to buy it.
The correlation of Toronto Dominion is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Toronto Dominion moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Toronto Dominion Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Toronto Dominion can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Toronto Dominion Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.