Toronto Dominion Bank Stock Technical Analysis

TD Stock

CAD 133.17 1.18 0.89%

As of the 10th of February, Toronto Dominion has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2451, coefficient of variation of 327.64, and Semi Deviation of 0.4121. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Toronto Dominion Bank, as well as the relationship between them.

Toronto Dominion Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Toronto, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Toronto

Toronto Dominion's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Toronto Dominion's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Toronto Dominion 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Toronto Dominion's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Toronto Dominion.

0.00

11/12/2025

No Change 0.00

0.0

In 2 months and 31 days

02/10/2026

0.00

If you would invest 0.00 in Toronto Dominion on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Toronto Dominion Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Toronto Dominion over 90 days. Toronto Dominion is related to or competes with Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Imperial, Toronto-Dominion, Royal Bank, National Bank, and Brookfield Asset. The Toronto-Dominion Bank, together with its subsidiaries, provides various personal and commercial banking products and... More

Toronto Dominion Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Toronto Dominion's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Toronto Dominion Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

	Downside Deviation	0.7327
	Information Ratio	0.187
	Maximum Drawdown	4.73
	Value At Risk	(1.02)
	Potential Upside	1.75

Toronto Dominion Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Toronto Dominion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Toronto Dominion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Toronto Dominion historical prices to predict the future Toronto Dominion's volatility.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.2451
	Jensen Alpha	0.2185
	Total Risk Alpha	0.1522
	Sortino Ratio	0.2122
	Treynor Ratio	0.8529

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toronto Dominion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Low	Estimated	High
132.33	133.18	134.03

Low	Real	High
119.85	151.23	152.08

Low	Projected EPS	High
2.11	2.25	2.38

Toronto Dominion February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.2451
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.8629
	Mean Deviation	0.64
	Semi Deviation	0.4121
	Downside Deviation	0.7327
	Coefficient Of Variation	327.64
	Standard Deviation	0.8315
	Variance	0.6913
	Information Ratio	0.187
	Jensen Alpha	0.2185
	Total Risk Alpha	0.1522
	Sortino Ratio	0.2122
	Treynor Ratio	0.8529
	Maximum Drawdown	4.73
	Value At Risk	(1.02)
	Potential Upside	1.75
	Downside Variance	0.5368
	Semi Variance	0.1698
	Expected Short fall	(0.81)
	Skewness	(0.35)
	Kurtosis	1.6

Toronto Dominion Bank Backtested Returns

Toronto Dominion appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Toronto Dominion Bank owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.29, which indicates the firm had a 0.29 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Toronto Dominion Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Toronto Dominion's Semi Deviation of 0.4121, coefficient of variation of 327.64, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2451 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Toronto Dominion holds a performance score of 22. The entity has a beta of 0.29, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Toronto Dominion's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Toronto Dominion is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Toronto Dominion's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Toronto Dominion's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

0.12

Insignificant predictability

Toronto Dominion Bank has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Toronto Dominion time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Toronto Dominion Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Toronto Dominion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.

	Correlation Coefficient	0.12
	Spearman Rank Test	0.21
	Residual Average	0.0
	Price Variance	1.71

Toronto Dominion technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.

Overlap Analysis

Forecast Models

Volatility Indicators

A focus of Toronto Dominion technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Toronto Dominion trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Toronto Dominion Bank Technical Analysis

The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Toronto Dominion Bank across different markets.

About Toronto Dominion Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Toronto Dominion Bank on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toronto Dominion Bank based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Toronto Dominion Bank price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Toronto Dominion Bank. By analyzing Toronto Dominion's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Toronto Dominion's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Toronto Dominion specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

	2023	2024	2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield	0.0532	0.0385	0.0266
Price To Sales Ratio	1.13	1.72	1.58

Dividend Yield Price To Sales Ratio

Toronto Dominion February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Toronto help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Toronto from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Toronto charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.2451
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.8629
	Mean Deviation	0.64
	Semi Deviation	0.4121
	Downside Deviation	0.7327
	Coefficient Of Variation	327.64
	Standard Deviation	0.8315
	Variance	0.6913
	Information Ratio	0.187
	Jensen Alpha	0.2185
	Total Risk Alpha	0.1522
	Sortino Ratio	0.2122
	Treynor Ratio	0.8529
	Maximum Drawdown	4.73
	Value At Risk	(1.02)
	Potential Upside	1.75
	Downside Variance	0.5368
	Semi Variance	0.1698
	Expected Short fall	(0.81)
	Skewness	(0.35)
	Kurtosis	1.6

Toronto Dominion February 10, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toronto stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

	Accumulation Distribution	103,610
	Daily Balance Of Power	0.70
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.01
	Day Median Price	132.50
	Day Typical Price	132.72
	Price Action Indicator	1.26

When determining whether Toronto Dominion Bank is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toronto Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toronto Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toronto Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Toronto

Is Toronto Stock a good investment?

What is Toronto Dominion's Net Worth?

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Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toronto Dominion Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Toronto Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toronto Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Toronto Dominion's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

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