Washington Federal Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| WAFDP Preferred Stock | USD 16.64 0.03 0.18% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Washington Federal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Washington Federal from the perspective of Washington Federal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Washington Federal to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Washington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Washington Federal after-hype prediction price | USD 16.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Washington |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Washington Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Washington Federal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Washington Federal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Washington Federal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Washington Federal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Washington Federal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Washington Federal's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Washington Federal's historical news coverage. Washington Federal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.18 and 17.10, respectively. We have considered Washington Federal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Washington Federal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Washington Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Washington Federal Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Washington Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Washington Federal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Washington Federal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.64 | 16.64 | 0.00 |
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Washington Federal Hype Timeline
Washington Federal is at this time traded for 16.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Washington is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Washington Federal is about 63.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.67. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Washington Federal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Washington Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Washington Federal guide.Washington Federal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Washington Federal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Washington Federal's future price movements. Getting to know how Washington Federal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Washington Federal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.14 | 3.61 | (1.50) | 6.62 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | 4.19 | 21 per month | 0.91 | 0.13 | 2.82 | (1.66) | 9.25 | |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 0.36 | 7 per month | 1.20 | 0 | 3.24 | (2.40) | 7.26 | |
| STBA | ST Bancorp | (0.58) | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.16 | 2.62 | (1.64) | 6.81 | |
| BFC | Bank First National | 4.19 | 6 per month | 1.33 | 0.05 | 3.40 | (2.64) | 8.68 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | (1.74) | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.07 | 3.89 | (2.87) | 8.29 | |
| FRME | First Merchants | 1.30 | 28 per month | 1.02 | 0.05 | 2.91 | (1.50) | 6.34 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.86 | 0.21 | 3.55 | (1.54) | 7.77 | |
| PFBC | Preferred Bank | (0.39) | 11 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 2.57 | (2.01) | 8.81 | |
| DCOM | Dime Community Bancshares | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.10 | 3.70 | (2.56) | 11.21 |
Washington Federal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Washington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Washington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Washington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Washington Federal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Washington Federal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Washington Federal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Washington Federal based on analysis of Washington Federal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Washington Federal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Washington Federal's related companies.
Pair Trading with Washington Federal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Washington Federal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Washington Federal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Washington Preferred Stock
| 0.36 | IBN | ICICI Bank Limited Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Washington Federal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Washington Federal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Washington Federal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Washington Federal to buy it.
The correlation of Washington Federal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Washington Federal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Washington Federal moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Washington Federal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Washington Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Washington Federal's price analysis, check to measure Washington Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Washington Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Washington Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Washington Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Washington Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Washington Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.